Pettis

5 atoms · 跨 2 天 · 首见 2026-05-13 · 最近 2026-05-14

三色: 🟦 fact 3 · 🟥 take 2 · stance ▲0/▼3/◆2

来源: X 5

时态: fresh:5

标签: 好观点:2 · 好思考:2 · 好数字:1

叙事 (narrative) (2)

• 2026-05-14 · 对经济动态更新能力
  You need to watch, measure and constantly update priors. He seems to be utterly incapable of this.
  tags: 好思考 · → daily
• 2026-05-13 · forecast 准确性
  forecasts which despite a two-decade run of being completely wrong ... he continues to cling to
  tags: 好思考 · → daily

预测 (forecast) (1)

• 2026-05-13 · 中国GDP增速天花板 forecast
  forecasts on the GDP growth rate ("a ceiling of 3%") that China could sustain over the long run
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=3% · date=长期

事实 (fact) (2)

• 2026-05-14 · 经济学正式训练
  He’s never been formally trained in economics. He studied history, got an MBA, and worked on Wall Street trading bonds.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• 2026-05-13 · China-late-80s-Japan 比较持续时间
  Pettis has been drawing this comparison of China to Japan on the brink of its multi-decade stagnation for the better part of two decades.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: date=2011-2026

时间轴 (近 20)

• 2026-05-14 · fact · 经济学正式训练 · → daily
• 2026-05-14 · narrative · 对经济动态更新能力 · → daily
• 2026-05-13 · fact · China-late-80s-Japan 比较持续时间 · → daily
• 2026-05-13 · forecast · 中国GDP增速天花板 forecast · → daily
• 2026-05-13 · narrative · forecast 准确性 · → daily

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