prediction markets

6 atoms · 跨 4 天 · 首见 2026-05-31 · 最近 2026-06-23

三色: 🟦 fact 2 · 🟥 take 4 · stance ▲3/▼1/◆0

来源: X 6

时态: fresh:5 · aging:1

标签: 好观点:3 · 好数字:2 · 好思考:1

叙事 (narrative) (4)

• 2026-06-01 · traders piling into bets on IPO timing and valuation of OpenAI, Anthropic, SpaceX
  Traders are piling into bets on when OpenAI, Anthropic and SpaceX will go public and how much they’ll be worth.
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: direction=surge
• 2026-06-01 · testing boundaries of U.S. securities law
  testing the boundaries of U.S. securities law
  tags: 好思考 · → daily
• 2026-06-01 · surge helping expand beyond sports gambling
  That surge is helping prediction markets expand beyond sports gambling while testing the boundaries of U.S. securities law.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• 2026-05-31 · 交易额增长
  That surge is helping prediction markets expand beyond sports gambling
  tags: 好观点 · → daily

立场 (position) (1)

• 2026-06-23 [老化中] · 流动性增加
  it benefits all the markets having more liquidity in
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=more

事实 (fact) (1)

• 2026-06-10 · 5月交易量
  About $28.4B in May, so annualizing to ~300B assuming no growth.
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=$28.4B · date=2026-05

时间轴 (近 20)

• 2026-06-23 · position · 流动性增加 · → daily
• 2026-06-10 · fact · 5月交易量 · → daily
• 2026-06-01 · narrative · traders piling into bets on IPO timing and valuation of Open · → daily
• 2026-06-01 · narrative · surge helping expand beyond sports gambling · → daily
• 2026-06-01 · narrative · testing boundaries of U.S. securities law · → daily
• 2026-05-31 · narrative · 交易额增长 · → daily

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