以下部分引用 AI 总结,现阶段 AI 仍然有幻觉。请以内容的原文为准。
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$SMTC
8 atoms · 跨 3 天 · 首见 2026-04-23 · 最近 2026-06-04
三色: 🟦 fact 3 · 🟥 take 5 · stance ▲8/▼0/◆0
来源: X 8
时态: fresh:7 · stale:1
标签: 好思考:4 · 好数字:4 · 好观点:2
叙事 (narrative) (1)
- 2026-06-04 · 业务前景改善
it seems Mediatek fixed their serdes enough so Semtech just getting started
tags: 好思考 · → daily
预测 (forecast) (3)
- 2026-04-23 · ACC 赢得超大规模客户竞争
Hyperscalers ran a competition to decide which cable technology would power their new AI data centers. Four types competed: Semtech's ACC won, with only passive DAC surviving alongside it. The two main rivals, AEC (led by Credo, inferred) and optical, were both eliminated because they used too much power inside tightly constrained AI racks. UBS estimates this single customer win is a ~$100M/yr rev opportunity.
tags: 好数字·好思考 · → daily
value: qty=~$100M/yr rev opportunity · date=future
- 2026-04-23 · Semtech 每 3.2T 模块内容价值
They are gonna go from ~$8 of content per 800G module to ~$80 per 3.2T module by owning the laser, driver, and TIA together rather than just sitting around the optical engine.
tags: 好思考 · → daily
value: qty=~$80 · date=future
- 2026-04-23 · 2028/2029 铜缆营收规模比较
Copper gonna be bigger than optical for Semtech in '28 or '29.
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: direction=铜缆大于光模块 · date=2028或2029
立场 (position) (1)
展开 1 条老旧 / 已过期
- 2026-05-26
[老旧] · 竞争态势
$SMTC has no credible competition
tags: 好观点 · → daily
事实 (fact) (3)
- 2026-04-23 · 估值折价对比AI网络同行
UBS has $SMTC at a valuation discount point to AI-networking peers like Astera Labs, Credo, and MACOM on forward multiples. Morgan Stanley acknowledges their 33x multiple is below the small-cap AI peer median.
tags: 好数字·好思考 · → daily
value: qty=33x multiple below small-cap AI peer median · date=current
- 2026-04-23 · 年化利息支出下降
Annualized interest expense falling from ~$75M per quarter to under ~$3M.
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=from ~$75M per quarter to under ~$3M · date=current
- 2026-04-23 · 与超大规模客户的规划合作
Co-planning with 7 hyperscalers vs. 1 a year ago.
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=7 hyperscalers vs. 1 a year ago · date=current
时间轴 (近 20)
- 2026-06-04 ·
narrative · 业务前景改善 · → daily
- 2026-05-26 ·
position · 竞争态势 · → daily
- 2026-04-23 ·
forecast · Semtech 每 3.2T 模块内容价值 · → daily
- 2026-04-23 ·
forecast · ACC 赢得超大规模客户竞争 · → daily
- 2026-04-23 ·
fact · 年化利息支出下降 · → daily
- 2026-04-23 ·
fact · 与超大规模客户的规划合作 · → daily
- 2026-04-23 ·
forecast · 2028/2029 铜缆营收规模比较 · → daily
- 2026-04-23 ·
fact · 估值折价对比AI网络同行 · → daily
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