兆易创新

🟨 AI 综合 · junior analyst 概览

展开 AI 综合 (灰色 · 非市场结论 · 点击数字溯源到原 atom)

model: deepseek-chat · 2026-06-30 · 默认折叠

兆易创新近期被 $DRAM ETF 纳入持仓，权重约 2.72%，对应约 4.7 亿美元敞口 ¹；同时首次被 Roundhill Memory ETF 列为第八大重仓 ¹。机构给出目标价从 585 元上调至 888 元，上涨空间 51.8%，2026 年预估市盈率 53 倍，高于历史均值 40 倍 ¹ ¹。

🟦 客观事实 (facts) (2)

🟦 2026-06-26 X·@tuolaji2024 · 被纳入DRAM ETF持仓 · ETF持仓变动
$DRAM 最新一轮再平衡，把兆易创新新增纳入持仓，权重约 2.72%（对应约 4.7 亿美元的敞口）
tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
value: qty=2.72% · date=2026-06-26

🟦 2026-06-29 X·@cnfinancewatch · 被纳入Roundhill Memory ETF第八大重仓 · ETF持仓
兆易创新（603986）首被纳入Roundhill Memory ETF第八大重仓
tags: 好数字 · → daily

📊 板块级信号 · 存储板块 (21)

*以下是 存储板块 板块的信号 (兆易创新是成员), 非直接针对兆易创新 — 供板块上下文参考*

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🟥▲ 2026-06-27 [twitter] · 2026Q3到2028年涨幅预测
杰富瑞的最新存储分析认为，2026Q3 到 2028 年，存储价格预计涨幅 200% 左右。
🟥▲ 2026-05-08 [chat] · LTA 逻辑
多头认为市场仍锚定旧周期规则，未充分计价长期协议 (LTA) 带来的 80% 毛利稳定性
🟥▼ 2026-05-08 [chat] · LTA 的 80% 毛利率疑虑
LTAs with 80% gross margins, idk man, for what is still a commodity, altho currently in deep undersupply, it is hard to
🟥▲ 2026-06-08 [newsletter] · 长期协议覆盖率预估
Cantor estimates roughly 50% of industry bits could be covered by year-end
🟦▲ 2026-06-18 [newsletter] · 供给短缺描述
There's less supply at a time when consumers want devices and the memory guys are passing along huge price increases
🟦▲ 2026-04-19 [chat] · 亚洲投资者共识交易方向
GS 销售指出，亚洲投资者坚守共识交易：做多存储
🟥▲ 2026-06-24 [sellside] · 当前与AMD历史类比
just as AMD saw its server business mix-shift it away from PC/Consumer reliance and allowed the company to thrive and ga
🟥▲ 2026-06-23 [sellside] · 需求强度和持续性
MEMORY. Strength/durability, led by LTAs providing greater confidence in 2-3-year supply/demand/pricing visibility, as s

📊 板块级信号 · Memory Industry (7)

*以下是 Memory Industry 板块的信号 (兆易创新是成员), 非直接针对兆易创新 — 供板块上下文参考*

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🟥▲ 2026-06-27 [twitter] · 长期合同占比可能升至70%
potentially rising to 70%
🟥▲ 2026-05-10 [chat] · 估值框架转变
结构性 GM 扩张 + 绑定 LTA → 远期 P/E 或失效，应转向 EV/EBITDA 或更高的 P/B 体系
🟥▲ 2026-06-24 [twitter] · structural transformation
Memory isn’t in the middle of a super cycle that pops and resets. It’s transforming into an industry that can command st
🟥▼ 2026-06-24 [twitter] · 被类比为 oil
Comparing memory to oil is a new low for dumb memory haters.
🟥▲ 2026-06-23 [twitter] · margins assertion
when most semi players enjoy 60-80% margins why should memory be left out esp given they’ve eaten shit for years?
🟥▲ 2026-06-23 [twitter] · pricing power view
the memory mafia is here to stay and will bring the world to its knees
🟥▲ 2026-05-10 [chat] · LTA 模式转变
行业转向不可取消的 LTA (take-or-pay)

📊 板块级信号 · 内存 (5)

*以下是内存板块的信号 (兆易创新是成员), 非直接针对兆易创新 — 供板块上下文参考*

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🟥▲ 2026-06-29 [sellside] · 是AI生态系统的核心高价值部分
Memory is integral, high-value part of the AI ecosystem.
🟥▲ 2026-06-29 [sellside] · 需求/EPS/估值均正面
Massive memory positive, both for demand/EPS and multiple...
🟥▲ 2026-06-24 [twitter] · 瓶颈原因
The main reason memory became a bottleneck was faster than expected rise of agentic AI
🟥▲ 2026-06-25 [twitter] · 战略价值类比
memory is the new oil.
🟥▲ 2026-06-24 [twitter] · 绝对需求且瓶颈
不就是因为内存缺了它根本不行吗而且是绝对的需求算力少了还能算慢点但是没有内存上下文无法扩展模型无法load 一个m5 max +512G ddr5 基本可以跑glm-5.2 , 算力不是瓶颈内存才是

📊 板块级信号 · memory companies (2)

*以下是 memory companies 板块的信号 (兆易创新是成员), 非直接针对兆易创新 — 供板块上下文参考*

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🟥▲ 2026-06-25 [twitter] · pricing strategy
For memory, it's “yes, we have what you need but we will charge you 1000% more.”
🟥▼ 2026-06-25 [twitter] · 暗黙的カルテル
メモリ企業の暗黙的カルテルでAppleが窒息するギリギリまで値段を釣り上げる形ですね

🟨 AI 综合 · junior analyst 概览

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📊 板块级信号 · 存储板块 (21)

📊 板块级信号 · Memory Industry (7)

📊 板块级信号 · 内存 (5)

📊 板块级信号 · memory companies (2)