US labor market

22 atoms · 跨 11 天 · 首见 2026-05-03 · 最近 2026-07-03

三色: 🟦 fact 14 · 🟥 take 8 · stance ▲4/▼5/◆5

来源: X 22

时态: fresh:20 · aging:2

标签: 好数字:12 · 好观点:9 · 好信源:4 · 好思考:1

叙事 (narrative) (6)

• 2026-07-02 · jobs print below forecasts
  The jobs print was below all but one forecasts
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
• 2026-06-05 · outlook after AI boom
  It's Looking More Upbeat For Labor Market After AI Boom
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=upbeat
• 2026-05-03 [老化中] · is in the spotlight
  The labor market is in the spotlight.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• 2026-06-25 · strength indicator
  labor market isn't as strong as recent data suggests
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: qty= · date=
• 2026-06-04 · hard to say has firmed
  HARD TO SAY LABOR MARKET HAS FIRMED
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• 2026-05-05 [老化中] · hire rates and quit rates stabilized and bottomed
  Month to month it's noisy but there's no question that labor market turnovers (hire rates and quit rates) have both stabilized and bottomed, which are strong signs of a stabilizing and strengthening US labor market
  tags: 好观点 · → daily

反驳 (refute) (1)

• 2026-06-09 · job openings vs unemployment
  If AI were triggering a jobs crisis, we would expect job openings to collapse and unemployment to climb, yet the opposite is happening.
  tags: 好观点·好思考 · → daily

预测 (forecast) (2)

• 2026-07-02 · June jobs report expectations
  June Jobs Preview And How To Trade It: "Markets Want Something Weaker Than Consensus"
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
  value: date=June
• 2026-07-01 · 认知劳动终结时间预测
  I mean I expect the end of all cognitive labor in the US by 2031… so my expected rate of change takes into account the end of all SaaS in that timeframe.
  tags: 好观点·好数字 · → daily
  value: date=2031 · direction=end of all cognitive labor

事实 (fact) (13)

• 2026-06-05 ⭐ · 2026-06 jobs report strength
  Strong Jobs Report
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=strong · date=2026-06-05
• 2026-07-03 · jobs revisions
  Since the start of 2025, US jobs numbers have now been revised down in 14 out of 17 months by a total of -710,000 jobs.
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=-710,000 · date=2025-01 to 2026-07
• 2026-07-03 · April jobs revision
  April jobs were revised down by -31,000, to +148,000
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=-31,000 · date=2026-04
• 2026-07-03 · May jobs revision
  May jobs were revised down by -43,000, to +129,000
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=-43,000 · date=2026-05
• 2026-07-03 · average monthly revision
  This means -41,765 jobs have been revised out of previously reported data, on average, in each month of this period.
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=-41,765 · date=2025-01 to 2026-07
• 2026-07-02 · 新增就业人数
  US Adds Only 57K Jobs, Half Expected
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=57K · date=June 2026
• 2026-06-25 · remained stable
  FED'S GOOLSBEE SAYS THE U.S. LABOR MARKET HAS REMAINED STABLE FOR OVER A YEAR, WITH HIRING AND LAYOFFS MUTED DUE TO ELEVATED UNCERTAINTY.
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: duration=over a year
• 2026-06-08 · share seeing plentiful jobs
  AMERICANS GROW MORE WORRIED ABOUT LABOR MARKET AS SHARE SEEING PLENTIFUL JOBS FALLS TO 3-YEAR LOW
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=3-year low · date=2026-06-08
• 2026-06-08 · full-time employment change in May 2026
  Full-time employment fell -79,000 in May, to 134.17 million, the lowest since December 2024.
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=-79,000 · date=May 2026
• 2026-06-08 · full-time employment total in May 2026
  Full-time employment fell -79,000 in May, to 134.17 million, the lowest since December 2024.
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=134.17 million · date=May 2026
• 2026-06-08 · full-time employment cumulative decline over last 5 months
  This marks the 2nd consecutive monthly decline and the 4th over the last 5 months, totaling -1.04 million.
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=-1.04 million · date=Feb 2026 - May 2026
• 2026-06-08 · full-time employment as percentage of total employment in May 2026
  As a % of total employment, this metric is down to 82.4%, in-line with the 2020 pandemic low.
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=82.4% · date=May 2026
• 2026-05-28 · current condition
  The underlying US labor market is doing quite well.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=well

时间轴 (近 20)

• 2026-07-03 · fact · jobs revisions · → daily
• 2026-07-03 · fact · April jobs revision · → daily
• 2026-07-03 · fact · May jobs revision · → daily
• 2026-07-03 · fact · average monthly revision · → daily
• 2026-07-02 · forecast · June jobs report expectations · → daily
• 2026-07-02 · narrative · jobs print below forecasts · → daily
• 2026-07-02 · fact · 新增就业人数 · → daily
• 2026-07-01 · forecast · 认知劳动终结时间预测 · → daily
• 2026-06-25 · narrative · strength indicator · → daily
• 2026-06-25 · fact · remained stable · → daily
• 2026-06-09 · refute · job openings vs unemployment · → daily
• 2026-06-08 · fact · share seeing plentiful jobs · → daily
• 2026-06-08 · fact · full-time employment change in May 2026 · → daily
• 2026-06-08 · fact · full-time employment total in May 2026 · → daily
• 2026-06-08 · fact · full-time employment cumulative decline over last 5 months · → daily
• 2026-06-08 · fact · full-time employment as percentage of total employment in Ma · → daily
• 2026-06-05 · narrative · outlook after AI boom · → daily
• 2026-06-05 · fact · 2026-06 jobs report strength · → daily
• 2026-06-04 · narrative · hard to say has firmed · → daily
• 2026-05-28 · fact · current condition · → daily

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