jd_pressman

12 atoms · 跨 5 天 · 首见 2026-05-06 · 最近 2026-06-15

三色: 🟦 fact 3 · 🟥 take 9 · stance ▲4/▼2/◆2

来源: X 12

时态: fresh:10 · stale:1 · aging:1

标签: 好观点:5 · 好思考:4 · 好信源:3 · 好数字:2 · 好问题:1

叙事 (narrative) (8)

• 2026-05-14 · 对LLM是否能学到人类心理学自然抽象的回答
  Is there...not? Is that not what is implied by being able to learn a prior over personalities in the way that base models clearly do?
  tags: 好问题·好思考 · → daily
• 2026-05-14 · 对GPT前学术共识的判断
  I think it would have been the standard academic position before GPT that an experiment along the lines of GPT would just fail, because words do not (seemingly) contain anything beyond indexical content.
  tags: 好思考 · → daily
• 2026-05-13 · 2018年对GPT可行性的判断
  Dude LLMs made me look like a dunce if you had described the setup to me in 2018 I'd have told you it's obviously computationally intractable, laughed at you, and said that any educated person would agree.
  tags: 好思考 · → daily
  value: direction=错误的 · date=2018
• 2026-05-13 · 对纯文本训练可行性的预期
  I would have told you I expect trying to learn language from language alone with a myopic optimizer just straight up won't work, and that doing it with a strong optimizer would require boiling the ocean at orders of magnitude higher cost than starting with vision.
  tags: 好思考 · → daily
• 2026-06-15 · desire for state protection from Anthropic
  do I want the state to protect me from Anthropic? and uh yes I emphatically do.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• 2026-05-14 · 对大语言模型思维外星人程度的判断
  I think these minds are merely sci-fi b movie plot alien (i.e. humans with blue skin and quirky mannerisms) as opposed to Lovecraft Mythos alien.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• 2026-05-13 · 对UFO外星人的先验概率
  I have a very strong prior against UFO aliens to a degree where I'm not really sure what kind of evidence would move me.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• 2026-05-06 [老化中] · 观点认同
  think this take is basically correct
  tags: 好观点 · → daily

立场 (position) (1)

事实 (fact) (3)

• 2026-06-13 ⭐ · Raven's Matrices 测试分数
  On Raven's Matrices type tests I score more like 120
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=120
• 2026-06-13 · IQ 测试分数
  _But @jd_pressman definitely could and reports an IQ of 109._
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=109
• 2026-06-13 · 心理评估状态描述
  "The following results are considered to be a valid estimate of his current level of functioning, but may be an underestimate of his performance when he is better able to regulate his emotional state." - The psych report that was written afterwards
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: direction=可能低估

时间轴 (近 20)

• 2026-06-15 · narrative · desire for state protection from Anthropic · → daily
• 2026-06-13 · fact · IQ 测试分数 · → daily
• 2026-06-13 · fact · Raven's Matrices 测试分数 · → daily
• 2026-06-13 · fact · 心理评估状态描述 · → daily
• 2026-05-14 · narrative · 对GPT前学术共识的判断 · → daily
• 2026-05-14 · narrative · 对大语言模型思维外星人程度的判断 · → daily
• 2026-05-14 · narrative · 对LLM是否能学到人类心理学自然抽象的回答 · → daily
• 2026-05-13 · narrative · 2018年对GPT可行性的判断 · → daily
• 2026-05-13 · narrative · 对纯文本训练可行性的预期 · → daily
• 2026-05-13 · narrative · 对UFO外星人的先验概率 · → daily
• 2026-05-06 · position · 立场 · → daily
• 2026-05-06 · narrative · 观点认同 · → daily

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