伊拉克获豁免: 伊朗最高联合军事指挥部宣布，伊拉克免受对霍尔木兹海峡施加的任何限制[1]Chris · 04-04"Iran's Top Joint Military Command: Iraq exempt from any restrictions imposed on Strait of Hormuz - Iranian media"。伊拉克官方通讯社随后证实，伊拉克感谢伊朗允许其油轮过境[2]Chris · 04-05"IRAQ THANKS IRAN OVER ALLOWING IRAQI TANKERS TO TRANSIT STRAIT OF HORMUZ - IRAQ'S STATE NEWS AGENCY"。
FOB 模式阻碍: 伊拉克原油多以 FOB 模式销售 →亚洲买家仍需支付过路费 / 航运公司需承担风险 → 豁免能否转化为实际流量有待观察[3]JP · 04-04"Seems like Iraq sells crude on FOB out of Basra ports via foreign vessels, so Asian buyers would have to pay the toll / …"[4]Bessents Burner · 04-04"Let's see how this materializes into flows, def something to watch"。
伊朗底线: 伊朗外长表示，伊朗关心的是彻底、持久地结束强加的非法战争[5]Akh · 04-04"Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: Iran's position is being misrepresented by U.S. media. We are deeply grateful to…"。消息人士称，伊朗拒绝任何临时停火提议，要求获得美国不会再次攻击的明确保证[6]Akh · 04-04"According to two sources involved in those talks, the mediators are still trying to get the parties to meet directly. Bu…"。
特朗普期限: 特朗普坚持最初的 10 天期限，距今仅剩 48 小时[7]Akh · 04-04"Trump sticking with original 10 day deadline (48 hrs to go)"。群友调侃其策略是“达成协议或开放霍尔木兹”，暗示在海峡关闭的情况下达成协议亦可接受[8]Akh · 04-04"Amusingly, it's "make a deal OR open up Hormuz"...meaning a deal with Hormuz closed is still fine :joy:"。
特朗普言论时间线: 群内盘点特朗普自 1 月以来的涉伊言论时间线（从“即将进攻”到“伊朗乞求和平”再到“准备摧毁能源基建”） → 凸显其立场反复无常，引发群内强烈调侃情绪[9]Akh · 04-04"The Trump Timeline: :small_orange_diamond:Jan 18: “Iranian patriots, help is coming. We are moving in.” :small_orange_di…"[10]Akh · 04-04":clown_face:D chess :chess_pawn:"。
以色列准备打击: 以色列高级国防官员透露，以色列正准备攻击伊朗能源设施，正在等待美国的绿灯[11]Akh · 04-04"Senior Israeli Defense Official: Israel preparing to attack Iranian energy facilities, awaiting green light from US."。