SpaceX Starship

10 atoms · 跨 6 天 · 首见 2026-05-03 · 最近 2026-05-27

三色: 🟦 fact 6 · 🟥 take 4 · stance ▲4/▼1/◆2

来源: X 10

时态: fresh:10

标签: 好观点:6 · 好信源:4 · 好数字:3

叙事 (narrative) (1)

• 2026-05-26 · reusability path
  Starship’s path to reusability looks murky after SpaceX’s S-1
  tags: 好观点 · → daily

预测 (forecast) (5)

• 2026-05-27 · orbit datacenter cost competitiveness in bullish case
  In the bullish case for SpaceX Starship launch capacity scaling and cost, orbital datacenters are cost competitive with terrestrial data centers (at $100/kg launch cost), or even cheaper (if $50/kg), in the early 2030s.
  tags: 好数字·好观点 · → daily
  value: qty=$100/kg launch cost · date=early 2030s
• 2026-05-27 · launch cost trajectory for orbital datacenters
  Starship is on track to have a window where it alone can provide access to orbit at the scale and cost required to make orbital datacenters make sense
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=$50-$100/kg · date=late 2026 + 3-5 years
• 2026-05-12 · V4 长度增加幅度
  V4 will be 15% to 20% longer
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=15%-20% · direction=increase · date=V4
• 2026-05-03 · V4 ship length 变化
  V4 ship will be much longer
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=longer
• 2026-05-23 · 被预测是最后一个无AI辅助设计的事物
  It will be the last. Everything after this will be designed with AI.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily

事实 (fact) (4)

• 2026-05-19 ⭐ · 全面可复用目标时间
  SpaceX's Starship, targeting full reusability as early as this year, is the vehicle Musk says makes the million-ton goal physically achievable.
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: date=2026
• 2026-05-19 · V3 首次发射时间
  MUSK: FIRST STARSHIP V3 LAUNCH LATER THIS WEEK
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: date=LATER THIS WEEK
• 2026-05-12 · 第十二次飞行测试将首次展示下一代Starship和Super Heavy运载火箭
  Starship’s twelfth flight test will debut the next generation Starship and Super Heavy vehicles
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
• 2026-05-23 · 被视为人类在无AI辅助下建造的最伟大事物
  Starship was the greatest thing humanity ever built without AI assistance.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily

时间轴 (近 20)

• 2026-05-27 · forecast · orbit datacenter cost competitiveness in bullish case · → daily
• 2026-05-27 · forecast · launch cost trajectory for orbital datacenters · → daily
• 2026-05-26 · narrative · reusability path · → daily
• 2026-05-23 · fact · 被视为人类在无AI辅助下建造的最伟大事物 · → daily
• 2026-05-23 · forecast · 被预测是最后一个无AI辅助设计的事物 · → daily
• 2026-05-19 · fact · V3 首次发射时间 · → daily
• 2026-05-19 · fact · 全面可复用目标时间 · → daily
• 2026-05-12 · fact · 第十二次飞行测试将首次展示下一代Starship和Super Heavy运载火箭 · → daily
• 2026-05-12 · forecast · V4 长度增加幅度 · → daily
• 2026-05-03 · forecast · V4 ship length 变化 · → daily

← 实体目录 · 系统日志