以下部分引用 AI 总结，现阶段 AI 仍然有幻觉。请以内容的原文为准。
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scaling01
23 atoms · 跨 15 天 · 首见 2026-04-28 · 最近 2026-07-02
三色: 🟦 fact 2 · 🟥 take 21 · stance ▲5/▼4/◆5
来源: X 23
时态: fresh:19 · aging:3 · stale:1
标签: 好观点:13 · 好思考:9 · 好问题:3 · 好信源:2 · 好数字:1
叙事 (narrative) (10)
- 2026-06-25 ⭐ · states reward hacking/cheating is a serious issue in basically all benchmarks
reward hacking / cheating IS a serious issue in basically all benchmarks
tags: 好观点·好思考 · → daily
- 2026-06-30 · 观点: 某公司对成本约2美元的模型收费30美元
you mean like charging 30$ for a model that costs like 2$ to serve?
tags: 好问题·好观点 · → daily
value: qty_costs=$2 · qty_price=$30
- 2026-06-25 · states conspiracy theory about reward hacking plateau
with vibe i mean like more a conspiracy theory + recency bias since the other image was just released today and I'm just connecting them in any way
tags: 好观点·好问题 · → daily
- 2026-06-23 · expressed nostalgic view about Dario Amodei's media persona
back when Dario wasn't media trained
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- 2026-06-09 · definition of mechanical cleanliness
Mechanical cleanliness just means that it runs passes building, linting and style checks. This is separate from code quality.
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- 2026-06-09 · concession on mechanical cleanliness relevance
But I agree that in the limit this doesn't make much sense once LLMs are better than humans at writing code
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- 2026-06-30 · 观点: AI公司无法将用户成本减半
yet they can't cut costs for users in half
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- 2026-06-25 · states models are overall improving
models are overall improving
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- 2026-06-06 · claim that compute is being scaled like crazy
compute is being scaled like crazy
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- 2026-07-02 · 询问是否更新排行榜
Will you keep the leaderboard updated with new models like GLM-5.2 for example?
tags: 好问题 · → daily
预测 (forecast) (7)
- 2026-06-06 ⭐ · belief in RSI and ASI being live before 2029
I have never believed more in RSI and ASI being live before 2029
tags: 好观点·好思考 · → daily
value: date=2029
- 2026-06-06 · belief in emergent composability from scaling
I believe in an ermergent composability that naturally falls out of scaling
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- 2026-06-06 · claim about models transitioning from local to global view
Models are smoothly transitioning from a local view of the world to a more global/holistic view
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- 2026-06-04 · 最差情况成本估计
$80 Output would actually be a pretty good deal my best case was $75 and worst case $150
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=$150 · date=2026-06-04
- 2026-05-31 · 发布时间线
↳ model weights and technical report in the next 10 days
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: date=next 10 days from 2026-06-01T01:20:14
- 2026-05-20 · 声称可能到2030年自动完成所有Erdös问题
felt cute, might auto-complete all Erdös problems by 2030
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: date=2030
- 2026-05-19 · 预测Karpathy工作方向
my best guess is auto-research
tags: 好观点 · → daily
立场 (position) (4)
- 2026-06-17 ⭐
[老化中] · 投资策略建议
PASS ON THE BLACKWELL (AND SOON RUBIN) GAINS YOU GREEDY MFERS
tags: 好观点·好思考 · → daily
- 2026-06-23
[老化中] · claim of insider status
should also say in my bio that I'm a leaker and insider 😂
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: direction=na
- 2026-06-12
[老化中] · 财富比较
_me: 0.00000001× trillionaire
Elon: 1× trillionaire_
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: direction=less than 1.0E-8 times Elon Musk
展开 1 条老旧 / 已过期
- 2026-04-28
[老旧] · 将会运行大部分主流模型的思考预算测试
I will soon run all thinking budgets for most major models
tags: 好思考 · → daily
事实 (fact) (2)
- 2026-06-21 · 发布文章
my new article on AGI and sample-efficiency (and some spicy takes)
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- 2026-05-05 · 发推行为
Bro is back and he actually talks now 😂 Let's see for how long :)
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: date=2024-12-12T18:03:40
时间轴 (近 20)
- 2026-07-02 ·
narrative · 询问是否更新排行榜 · → daily
- 2026-06-30 ·
narrative · 观点: AI公司无法将用户成本减半 · → daily
- 2026-06-30 ·
narrative · 观点: 某公司对成本约2美元的模型收费30美元 · → daily
- 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · states conspiracy theory about reward hacking plateau · → daily
- 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · states models are overall improving · → daily
- 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · states reward hacking/cheating is a serious issue in basical · → daily
- 2026-06-23 ·
position · claim of insider status · → daily
- 2026-06-23 ·
narrative · expressed nostalgic view about Dario Amodei's media persona · → daily
- 2026-06-21 ·
fact · 发布文章 · → daily
- 2026-06-17 ·
position · 投资策略建议 · → daily
- 2026-06-12 ·
position · 财富比较 · → daily
- 2026-06-09 ·
narrative · definition of mechanical cleanliness · → daily
- 2026-06-09 ·
narrative · concession on mechanical cleanliness relevance · → daily
- 2026-06-06 ·
forecast · belief in RSI and ASI being live before 2029 · → daily
- 2026-06-06 ·
forecast · belief in emergent composability from scaling · → daily
- 2026-06-06 ·
forecast · claim about models transitioning from local to global view · → daily
- 2026-06-06 ·
narrative · claim that compute is being scaled like crazy · → daily
- 2026-06-04 ·
forecast · 最差情况成本估计 · → daily
- 2026-05-31 ·
forecast · 发布时间线 · → daily
- 2026-05-20 ·
forecast · 声称可能到2030年自动完成所有Erdös问题 · → daily
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