以下部分引用 AI 总结，现阶段 AI 仍然有幻觉。请以内容的原文为准。
数据新鲜度群聊 07-14 ✓卖方 07-14 ✓Wrap 断档15天 ✕News 07-15 ✓X 断档12天 ✕页面生成 07-15
AI systems
12 atoms · 跨 8 天 · 首见 2026-04-27 · 最近 2026-07-02
三色: 🟦 fact 1 · 🟥 take 11 · stance ▲6/▼2/◆3
来源: X 12
时态: fresh:8 · aging:4
标签: 好观点:8 · 好思考:4 · 好问题:1 · 好信源:1
叙事 (narrative) (6)
- 2026-07-02 · is finding software vulnerabilities at scale
AI appears to be finding software vulnerabilities at scale.
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- 2026-06-18 · are pulling optics closer to logic
AI systems are pulling optics closer to logic
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- 2026-05-06
[老化中] · smarter_than_80%_people
AI is already smarter than 80% of the world
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- 2026-05-06
[老化中] · good_at_binary_decisions_with_clear_inputs
AI is extremely good at binary decisions with clear inputs. zoning approvals. permit processing. compliance checks. resource allocation where the variables are quantifiable.
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- 2026-05-06
[老化中] · cannot_understand_community_wants
the part AI can't do is the part that requires understanding what a community actually wants which is a value judgment not an optimisation problem
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- 2026-04-27
[老化中] · context decay occurrence
Context decay, orchestration drift, and the rise of silent failures in AI systems
tags: 好观点 · → daily
预测 (forecast) (5)
- 2026-05-04 · 60%+ chance of autonomously building own successors by end of 2028
Why there is a 60%+ chance of AI systems autonomously building their own successors by the end of 2028
tags: 好观点·好问题 · → daily
value: qty=60%+ · date=end of 2028
- 2026-05-22 · will make a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months
AI will make a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months (working collaboratively with humans)
tags: 好思考 · → daily
value: qty=12 months · date=2026-05-22 to 2027-05-22
- 2026-05-22 · will design their own successors by year-end 2028
AI systems will be able to design their own successors by year-end 2028 (i.e., RSI)
tags: 好思考 · → daily
value: qty=year-end 2028 · date=2028-12-31
- 2026-05-22 · general AI systems should need less of Skills extra layer
But the more general these AI systems become, the less they should need this extra layer.
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- 2026-06-01 · 成本预期
these systems are not gonna be cheap
tags: 好观点 · → daily
事实 (fact) (1)
- 2026-05-07 ⭐ · 自我改进趋势
We expect AI systems to contribute more and more to AI R&D: that is, to be able to improve themselves.
tags: 好信源·好思考 · → daily
时间轴 (近 20)
- 2026-07-02 ·
narrative · is finding software vulnerabilities at scale · → daily
- 2026-06-18 ·
narrative · are pulling optics closer to logic · → daily
- 2026-06-01 ·
forecast · 成本预期 · → daily
- 2026-05-22 ·
forecast · will make a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months · → daily
- 2026-05-22 ·
forecast · will design their own successors by year-end 2028 · → daily
- 2026-05-22 ·
forecast · general AI systems should need less of Skills extra layer · → daily
- 2026-05-07 ·
fact · 自我改进趋势 · → daily
- 2026-05-06 ·
narrative · smarter_than_80%_people · → daily
- 2026-05-06 ·
narrative · good_at_binary_decisions_with_clear_inputs · → daily
- 2026-05-06 ·
narrative · cannot_understand_community_wants · → daily
- 2026-05-04 ·
forecast · 60%+ chance of autonomously building own successors by end o · → daily
- 2026-04-27 ·
narrative · context decay occurrence · → daily
← 实体目录 · 系统日志