closed models

10 atoms · 跨 8 天 · 首见 2026-04-15 · 最近 2026-06-25

三色: 🟦 fact 0 · 🟥 take 10 · stance ▲2/▼4/◆2

来源: X 10

时态: fresh:8 · aging:2

标签: 好观点:8 · 好问题:1 · 好思考:1

叙事 (narrative) (8)

• 2026-06-16 · lead vs open weights models
  if they fall behind by years
  tags: 好思考 · → daily
• 2026-06-11 · 是实际成本的5倍高估
  Current closed models are typically around 5x overpriced
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• 2026-06-25 · 无法移除偏见
  Bias removal is not possible with closed models.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: date=2026-06-25
• 2026-06-17 · 利润率
  the margin on these models is CRAZY compared to oss models
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• 2026-06-10 · 行为指控
  question what other closed models are actively working on sabotaging us
  tags: 好问题 · → daily
• 2026-06-07 · gap with open models
  The gap between open and closed models is massive.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=massive
• 2026-04-15 [老化中] · capability margin over open models
  It’s surprising that the top closed models did not show a growing capability margin over open models, based on compute differences for training and research, especially in the second half of 2025 and through today.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=not growing
• 2026-04-15 [老化中] · robustness and general usefulness compared to open models
  To date, closed models tend to be more robust and generally useful than similarly scoring open models. Closed models have certain hard-to-measure qualities that are not well captured in current or past benchmarks. This will be key to enabling closed models to dominate in markets where an individual user constantly presents new challenges, i.e. supporting knowledge workers as a direct assistant.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=more robust and generally useful

预测 (forecast) (1)

• 2026-05-30 · intelligence advantage over open models
  Closed models will stay slightly smarter.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=slightly smarter

事实 (fact) (1)

• 2026-06-10 · more capable and easier to use
  The confounder as you point out is that closed models are more capable and easier to use
  tags: 好观点 · → daily

时间轴 (近 20)

• 2026-06-25 · narrative · 无法移除偏见 · → daily
• 2026-06-17 · narrative · 利润率 · → daily
• 2026-06-16 · narrative · lead vs open weights models · → daily
• 2026-06-11 · narrative · 是实际成本的5倍高估 · → daily
• 2026-06-10 · narrative · 行为指控 · → daily
• 2026-06-10 · fact · more capable and easier to use · → daily
• 2026-06-07 · narrative · gap with open models · → daily
• 2026-05-30 · forecast · intelligence advantage over open models · → daily
• 2026-04-15 · narrative · capability margin over open models · → daily
• 2026-04-15 · narrative · robustness and general usefulness compared to open models · → daily

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