以下部分引用 AI 总结，现阶段 AI 仍然有幻觉。请以内容的原文为准。
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IRGC
75 atoms · 跨 34 天 · 首见 2026-04-18 · 最近 2026-06-27
三色: 🟦 fact 71 · 🟥 take 4 · stance ▲0/▼37/◆15
叙事状态: 🍂 fading (退潮) · 💤 沉寂 · 策展近14d 0 atom
状态只算低频策展源 (群/卖方); X firehose 仅作背景音量
来源: X 75
时态: fresh:74 · aging:1
标签: 好信源:72 · 好数字:3 · 好观点:3 · 好思考:2 · 好问题:1
🟨 AI 综合 · junior analyst 概览
展开 AI 综合 (灰色 · 非市场结论 · 点击数字溯源到原 atom)
model: deepseek-chat · 2026-07-12 · 默认折叠
IRGC 近期对美军目标发动了打击，声称袭击了中东多处美军部署地点 [id=b48d441b50a1b3fe,decb2b2164922789]。该组织警告若美国进一步攻击将做出‘更广泛回应’ [id=f25b3b835193ad7f]。在霍尔木兹海峡，IRGC 威胁将处理不遵守通行费要求的船只 [id=29296026661adbb4]。另一方面，IRGC 曾声明未向科威特机场开火，并称机场航站楼损毁系美国爱国者系统误击造成 [id=8c6e726aa62060e3,7cefe7749ca96056]。该组织还声称挫败了美国向‘恐怖组织’运送军火的行动 [id=3246de79486e64fe]。值得注意的是，IRGC 存在破坏谈判的诱因 [id=b0069f79b6a937cc]，这一动机可能加剧地缘风险。
🔗 因果传导 (causal map)
*IRGC 在产业链上的传导关系. 边是群里/卖方陈述的因果 (非 AI 推断), 数字 = 几条 atom 支撑. 点 atom 溯源.*
↓ 下游·近期陈述 (3)
- 🔴 航运走廊 · 政策影响 · 1 次陈述
IRGC rejected a newly announced shipping corridor through the Strait of Hormuz, saying it was created without Tehran’s c
- 🟢 Crude Oil · 供给挤压 · 1 次陈述
IRGC Warned It Controls Hormuz Strait
- 🔴 US Army · 竞争 · 1 次陈述
BREAKING: Iranian state media says the IRGC has targeted several locations of US Army deployment in the Middle East foll
↑ 上游·近期陈述 (1)
- 🔴 US Military · 传导 · 1 次陈述
IRGC said its naval forces have struck U.S. military positions in the region in retaliation for the recent U.S. attack o
🟦 客观事实 (facts) (14)
- <a id="atom-decb2b2164922789"></a>🟦 2026-06-27
X·@zerohedge · 对美打击行动 · 地缘政治/军事冲突
IRGC SAYS LAUNCHED STRIKES AGAINST 8 US TARGETS: PRESS TV
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: qty=8 · date=2026-06-28
- <a id="atom-b48d441b50a1b3fe"></a>🟦 2026-06-26
X·@KobeissiLetter · targeted US Army deployment locations in Middle East · 地缘政治
BREAKING: Iranian state media says the IRGC has targeted several locations of US Army deployment in the Middle East following US strikes on Iran.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-f25b3b835193ad7f"></a>🟦 2026-06-26
X·@KobeissiLetter · threatens broader response if further US attacks · 地缘政治
The IRGC says any further attacks by the US will draw a 'broader response.'
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-29296026661adbb4"></a>🟦 2026-06-25
X·@zerohedge · warns ships not complying with Hormuz tolls will be dealt with · 地缘政治
IRGC Warns Ships Not Complying 'Will Be Dealt With'
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-0d43cc05b9b7d199"></a>🟦 2026-06-05
X·@zerohedge · 声称袭击美国基地 · 地缘政治
IRAN GUARDS SAY TARGETED US BASES IN GULF: AFP
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: date=2026-06-06
- <a id="atom-8c6e726aa62060e3"></a>🟦 2026-06-03
X·@zerohedge · 声明未向科威特机场开火 · 地缘政治
IRAN'S IRGC CLAIMS IT DID NOT FIRE AT KUWAIT AIRPORT: STATE TV
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-7cefe7749ca96056"></a>🟦 2026-06-03
X·@zerohedge · 声称科威特机场客运航站楼被毁系美爱国者系统拦截伊朗导弹时误击 · 地缘政治
IRGC CLAIMS DESTRUCTION OF PASSENGER TERMINAL AT KUWAIT AIRPORT WAS CAUSED BY AN ERROR IN AMERICAN PATRIOT SYSTEM ATTEMPTING TO INTERCEPT IRANIAN MISSILE
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-3246de79486e64fe"></a>🟦 2026-05-19
X·@zerohedge · 声称挫败美国向'恐怖组织'运送军火 · 地缘政治
IRGC Says It Foiled US Arms Shipments To 'Terror Groups' Near Border With Iraqi Kurdistan
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: direction=up · location=伊朗与伊拉克库尔德斯坦交界附近
- <a id="atom-c01d0d32592371ce"></a>🟦 2026-05-18
X·@zerohedge · 声明: 美国新文本存在根本分歧 · 地缘政治
DESPITE SOME CHANGES IN THE NEW AMERICAN TEXT, FUNDAMENTAL DIFFERENCES STEMMING FROM THE AMERICANS' EXAGGERATION AND LACK OF REALISM REMAIN
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-1939ce8a0104e5c0"></a>🟦 2026-05-06
X·@zerohedge · NAVY says safe passage via Hormuz will be ensured · 地缘政治
IRGC NAVY SAYS SAFE PASSAGE VIA HORMUZ WILL BE ENSURED:PRESS TV
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-cac709c0c7030ca9"></a>🟦 2026-05-01
X·@zerohedge · 宣布最高领袖将制定新规则 · 地缘政治
IRGC SAYS SUPREME LEADER TO SET NEW RULES FOR PERSIAN GULF
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-ddf23e5ee6de6d94"></a>🟦 2026-06-20
X·@WatcherGuru · Strait of Hormuz declared closed · 地缘政治
Iran's IRGC officially declares the Strait of Hormuz closed to all vessels, warns approaching ships face a 'security risk.'
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: direction=closed
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-a534fe9f80289a63"></a>🟦 2026-06-11
X·@Sino_Market · navy warning about vessels in Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman · 地缘政治
IRGC navy warned that any vessels anchored in the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman that approach the Strait of Hormuz will be treated as cooperating with the enemy.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: direction=warning
- <a id="atom-b2b73c136eeb6fe8"></a>🟦 2026-05-27
X·@Sino_Market · struck US Air Force base after US airstrike · 地缘政治
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps public relations department said on the 28th that in the early hours of the day U.S. forces carried out an airstrike on a site on the outskirts of Bandar Abbas, and that the IRGC subsequently struck the U.S. Air Force base that launched the attack.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
📷 原图
🟥 空头 takes (bearish) (1)
🟦 新闻流 (squawk · 40)
展开新闻流 (FirstSquawk / financialjuice / wallstengine / DeItaone — 快讯, 非原创 take)
- <a id="atom-f9e2dc41df5c6c19"></a>🟦 2026-06-27
X·@FirstSquawk · 威胁对违规船只采取更强硬行动 · 地缘政治/监管政策
IRGC: VIOLATING SHIPS TO FACE TOUGHER ACTION; ANY ENEMY AGGRESSION WILL DRAW A CRUSHING RESPONSE
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-b158f8eae7989b2b"></a>🟦 2026-06-26
X·@FirstSquawk ⭐ · 拒绝霍尔木兹海峡新航运走廊 · 地缘政治/监管政策
IRGC rejected a newly announced shipping corridor through the Strait of Hormuz, saying it was created without Tehran’s coordination.
tags: 好信源·好思考 · → daily
value: date=2026-06-26
- <a id="atom-8d8e10eea699fd76"></a>🟦 2026-06-26
X·@FirstSquawk · claimed U.S. used pretexts · 地缘政治
The IRGC claimed the U.S. had used “various pretexts,” including allegations involving a vessel transiting an unauthorized route through the Strait of Hormuz, to justify its military action.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-5884fc506ae463ee"></a>🟦 2026-06-25
X·@FirstSquawk · 禁止船只偏离指定航线 · 地缘政治
IRGC: SHIPS' MOVEMENT OUTSIDE IRAN'S DESIGNATED ROUTES IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND PROHIBITED
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-af07f53baee0d4e3"></a>🟦 2026-06-25
X·@FirstSquawk · 攻击新加坡籍货船 · 地缘政治
THE ISLAMIC REVOLUTIONARY GUARD CORPS ATTACKED A SINGAPORE-FLAGGED CARGO SHIP IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ ON THURSDAY
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: direction=在霍尔木兹海峡 · date=2026-06-25
- <a id="atom-09b848ea5fabfe6b"></a>🟦 2026-06-25
X·@FirstSquawk · 被报道袭击新加坡货船 · 地缘政治
IRAN'S IRGC REPORTEDLY TARGETED A SINGAPORE-FLAGGED CARGO SHIP IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, ACCORDING TO U.S. OFFICIALS CITED BY FOX.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: direction=在霍尔木兹海峡
- <a id="atom-b7478c72381eabea"></a>🟦 2026-06-24
X·@FirstSquawk · 对霍尔木兹海峡新航线的立场 · 地缘政治/航运路线
IRGC WARNS NEW HORMUZ SHIPPING ROUTE IS ‘UNACCEPTABLE’ AND ‘PERILOUS’
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: direction=反对
- <a id="atom-f3fa265b5ba759ed"></a>🟦 2026-06-24
X·@FirstSquawk · 警告新单边霍尔木兹航线危险 · 地缘政治
IRGC Warns New Unilateral Hormuz Shipping Route Is Dangerous, Lacks Iran’s Coordination
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-bbaeecffcf05bcd4"></a>🟦 2026-06-20
X·@DeItaone · 警告船只不要靠近霍尔木兹海峡 · 地缘政治
IRAN'S IRGC WARNS VESSELS NOT TO APPROACH STRAIT OF HORMUZ, SAYS THEIR SECURITY WOULD OTHERWISE BE AT RISK -STATEMENT
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: qty= · date=
- <a id="atom-9d9e25481abefc55"></a>🟦 2026-06-20
X·@FirstSquawk · strength as guarantee · 地缘政治/监管政策
The true guarantee in any agreement is our strength
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- <a id="atom-81eea34ef5a29ae8"></a>🟦 2026-06-19
X·@FirstSquawk · set up secretive cells in Iraq · 地缘政治/出口管制
IRAN'S REVOLUTIONARY GUARDS SET UP SECRETIVE CELLS IN IRAQ TO CONDUCT DRONE ATTACKS ON KUWAIT, SAUDI ARABIA, UAE, SOURCES SAY (EXCLUSIVE) REUTERS
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: location=Iraq
- <a id="atom-83eb3b97d988e297"></a>🟦 2026-06-14
X·@FirstSquawk · planned controlled explosions · 地缘政治/安全事故
IRGC in Iran’s central Isfahan province said controlled explosions would be carried out on Sunday from 8 a.m. to noon in and around Mobarakeh county
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: date=2026-06-14T06:35:08
- <a id="atom-7670d9697fe35bad"></a>🟦 2026-06-10
X·@FirstSquawk · 已完成导弹和无人机攻击行动第一阶段 · 地缘政治
IRAN STATE MEDIA SAYS IRGC HAS COMPLETED FIRST PHASE OF MISSILE AND DRONE OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: direction=completed · date=2026-06-10
- <a id="atom-96c31f213b8ae728"></a>🟦 2026-06-10
X·@FirstSquawk · 声称发射导弹数 · 地缘政治
The IRGC claims it launched 12 ballistic missiles at U.S. aircraft stationed at Jordan’s Al-Azraq Air Base, according to its statement.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: qty=12 · direction=launched
- <a id="atom-a57b52d590afc0a1"></a>🟦 2026-06-09
X·@FirstSquawk · drone attack launched · 地缘政治
The IRGC said it launched a drone attack on the U.S. Fifth Fleet in Bahrain, citing recent U.S. strikes on southern Iran.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-9c07e6abb72f0854"></a>🟦 2026-06-09
X·@FirstSquawk · 声称美国在锡里克的打击损坏了一个通信塔 · 地缘政治/安全事故
The IRGC said a U.S. strike in Sirik damaged a communications tower and left two water storage tanks destroyed.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-98e70adbf06d13a9"></a>🟦 2026-06-09
X·@FirstSquawk · 声明当前战斗持续 · 地缘政治
The IRGC said fighting remains underway
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-7ed3fe24e4cb0b01"></a>🟦 2026-06-09
X·@FirstSquawk · 警告美方进一步侵略将引发更严厉回应 · 地缘政治
cautioned that any further U.S. aggression would trigger a harsher response
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-1a25116232f1fcc5"></a>🟦 2026-06-09
X·@FirstSquawk · 对美军基地发动导弹袭击 · 地缘政治/军事冲突
Iran’s state media said the IRGC launched a missile strike against a U.S. base in Jordan.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: direction=strike
- <a id="atom-45cfa85601bdbf34"></a>🟦 2026-06-09
X·@FirstSquawk · 声称袭击目标数量 · 地缘政治
The IRGC said four targets at the U.S. Al-Azraq military base in Jordan were struck in its latest operation
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: qty=4 · date=2026-06-10
- <a id="atom-884027af798f83d3"></a>🟦 2026-06-09
X·@FirstSquawk · 袭击声明 · 地缘政治
The IRGC said it struck F-35 aircraft hangars and a command-and-control facility at the U.S. Al-Azraq base in Jordan
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: direction=attacked
- <a id="atom-f513656cd2b5110a"></a>🟦 2026-06-09
X·@FirstSquawk · 威胁声明 · 地缘政治
IRGC warned it is ready with a crushing and decisive retaliation should the United States launch additional attacks
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: qty=ready · date=2026-06-10
- <a id="atom-054e961b135f4cda"></a>🟦 2026-06-09
X·@FirstSquawk · 声称对美军阿里·萨利姆空军基地实施无人机袭击 · 地缘政治/军事冲突
The IRGC said it carried out a drone attack on the U.S. Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait, Iranian media reported.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-9a85621c7040b430"></a>🟦 2026-06-08
X·@FirstSquawk · 宣称攻击目标 · 地缘政治
IRGC SAYS THEY TARGETED THE NEVATIM AND TEL NOF AIR BASES IN ISRAEL IN RESPONSE TO ISRAELI STRIKES ON RADAR SITES IN IRAN.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: qty=Nevatim和Tel Nof空军基地 · date=2026-06-08
- <a id="atom-f22de4335f50b091"></a>🟦 2026-06-08
X·@FirstSquawk · targets Israel's Nevatim, Tel Nof strategic air bases · 地缘政治/军事行动
IRGC targets Israel’s Nevatim, Tel Nof strategic air bases
tags: 好信源·好问题 · → daily
- <a id="atom-1b018e19fc73efe2"></a>🟦 2026-06-08
X·@FirstSquawk · resistance security belt pledge · 地缘政治
IRGC'S QA'ANI VOWS NEW RESISTANCE SECURITY BELT SPANNING FROM HORMUZ STRAIT TO BAB AL-MANDEB AND FROM THE PERSIAN GULF TO THE RED SEA.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-fbefa7cb94829718"></a>🟦 2026-06-07
X·@FirstSquawk · claims Israel carried out air-launched ballistic missile strikes inside Iran · 地缘政治
IRGC Says Israel Carried Out Air-Launched Ballistic Missile Strikes Inside Iran, Reports IRNA
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-a404378cbd938b8a"></a>🟦 2026-06-05
X·@FirstSquawk · 宣布对美军基地发动导弹攻击 · 地缘政治
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced that in response to the US attack on Sirik and Qeshm islands, it has targeted US bases in the region with air-launched missiles.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: direction=已发生
- <a id="atom-aa67a4d8166d9094"></a>🟦 2026-06-05
X·@FirstSquawk · 声称向四艘油轮开火 · 地缘政治/能源
IRGC CLAIMS IT FIRED ON FOUR TANKERS IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: qty=4艘 · date=2026-06-06 · direction=na
- <a id="atom-72a4367417ec42b2"></a>🟦 2026-06-05
X·@financialjuice · fired on four tankers trying to pass Strait of Hormuz without permission · 地缘政治/关税
IRGC: fired on four tankers trying to pass Strait of Hormuz without permission - statement
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: qty=4 · date=2026-06-06 · direction=na
- <a id="atom-78968940bed85bea"></a>🟦 2026-06-05
X·@financialjuice · 袭击美国在科威特和巴林的军事基地 · 地缘政治
IRGC: strikes US bases in Kuwait and Bahrain with ballistic missiles in response to US attacks on Iranian sites in Gulf
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: qty=弹道导弹 · date=2026-06-06
- <a id="atom-0f8c4dd8cd652f6b"></a>🟦 2026-06-02
X·@FirstSquawk · 威胁停止 · 地缘政治
A number of vessel owners are saying that they are no longer receiving IRGC threats via the radio, which wasn’t the case a few weeks back.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: direction=停止
- <a id="atom-201d36b328b862b6"></a>🟦 2026-06-02
X·@FirstSquawk · 声称对科威特美军基地进行了精确导弹打击 · 地缘政治
IRAN'S IRGC SAYS IT CONDUCTED "PRECISE AND CONCENTRATED MISSILE STRIKES" ON US MILITARY BASES IN KUWAIT - SOURCES
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: direction=conducted
- <a id="atom-d7b6d18c49aeb418"></a>🟦 2026-06-02
X·@FirstSquawk · 确认以导弹和无人机袭击美国第五舰队总部 · 地缘政治
CONFIRMS STRIKING US FIFTH FLEET HEADQUARTERS WITH MISSILES AND DRONES
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-937741627bd16d01"></a>🟦 2026-05-31
X·@FirstSquawk · claimed to have shot down · 地缘政治
IRAN CLAIMS IRGC SHOT DOWN U.S. MQ-1 DRONE OVER ITS TERRITORIAL WATERS
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: qty=1 · direction=down
- <a id="atom-32ce99b8b7eccb57"></a>🟥 2026-05-31
X·@FirstSquawk · 伊朗革命卫队政治事务官员主张霍尔木兹海峡主权地位超越核武 · 地缘政治/能源
Imposing and Entrenching Our Sovereignty Over the Strait of Hormuz Surpasses the Importance of Nuclear Weapons
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: date=2026-05-31
- <a id="atom-cad98d1ee2536c64"></a>🟦 2026-05-28
X·@DeItaone · 船只通航数量 · 地缘政治
IRAN'S IRGC SAY 26 VESSELS PASSED THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ IN THE PAST 24 HOURS - SNN
tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
value: qty=26 · date=2026-05-28
- <a id="atom-29ed328dcaaa9dd5"></a>🟦 2026-05-28
X·@DeItaone · 要求船舶获得许可并与海军协调才能通过霍尔木兹海峡 · 地缘政治/出口管制
IRAN'S IRGC SAY OBTAINING PERMISSION AND COORDINATING WITH NAVY ARE MANDATORY TO PASS THROUGH HORMUZ
tags: 好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-edd5668f5fa960f5"></a>🟦 2026-05-28
X·@DeItaone · 控制与管理霍尔木兹海峡 · 地缘政治
IRAN'S IRGC SAY TEHRAN IS CONTROLLING AND MANAGING THE STRAIT, ANY DISRUPTION WILL BE MET WITH 'DECISIVE RESPONSE'
tags: 好信源 · → daily
value: qty= · date=
- <a id="atom-ab158ed9a57ee2d0"></a>🟦 2026-05-28
X·@FirstSquawk · stated it will respond strongly to any disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz · 地缘政治
IRAN'S IRGC STATED IT WILL RESPOND STRONGLY TO ANY DISRUPTIONS IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ.
tags: 好信源 · → daily
⏱ 时间轴 (近 20)
- 🟥 2026-06-27 ·
narrative · 诱因破坏谈判 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-27 ·
fact · 对美打击行动 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-27 ·
fact · 威胁对违规船只采取更强硬行动 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-26 ·
fact · 拒绝霍尔木兹海峡新航运走廊 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-26 ·
fact · targeted US Army deployment locations in Middle East · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-26 ·
fact · threatens broader response if further US attacks · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-26 ·
fact · claimed U.S. used pretexts · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-25 ·
fact · 禁止船只偏离指定航线 · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · 权力结构碎片化和去中心化 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · warns ships not complying with Hormuz tolls will be dealt wi · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-25 ·
fact · 攻击新加坡籍货船 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-25 ·
fact · 被报道袭击新加坡货船 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-24 ·
fact · 对霍尔木兹海峡新航线的立场 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-24 ·
fact · 警告新单边霍尔木兹航线危险 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-20 ·
fact · 警告船只不要靠近霍尔木兹海峡 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-20 ·
fact · Strait of Hormuz declared closed · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-20 ·
narrative · strength as guarantee · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-19 ·
fact · set up secretive cells in Iraq · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-14 ·
fact · planned controlled explosions · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-11 ·
fact · navy warning about vessels in Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman · → daily
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