以下部分引用 AI 总结,现阶段 AI 仍然有幻觉。请以内容的原文为准。
数据新鲜度群聊 07-14 ✓卖方 07-14 ✓Wrap 断档15天 ✕News 07-15 ✓X 断档12天 ✕页面生成 07-15
SPX
129 atoms · 跨 40 天 · 首见 2026-04-15 · 最近 2026-07-02
三色: 🟦 fact 80 · 🟥 take 49 · stance ▲31/▼28/◆17
叙事状态: 🍂 fading (退潮) · 💤 沉寂 · 策展近14d 0 atom · 🐦 X 近14d 1
状态只算低频策展源 (群/卖方); X firehose 仅作背景音量
来源: 群 7 · X 122
时态: fresh:118 · aging:8 · stale:3
标签: 好数字:88 · 好观点:27 · 好思考:14 · 好信源:13 · 好问题:2
🟨 AI 综合 · junior analyst 概览
展开 AI 综合 (灰色 · 非市场结论 · 点击数字溯源到原 atom)
model: deepseek-chat · 2026-07-12 · 默认折叠
标普500年底目标被Yardeni上调至8250点
¹,短期则有望从7500-7550区域反弹
¹。期权结构呈‘Bullish Charm + Long Gamma’组合,方向偏向上方
¹;7300和7200点的Put行权墙形成下方支撑垫
¹。但高盛交易员指出上涨趋势正在收窄,市场焦虑水平再次上升
¹¹。若SPX跌破7415则可能先测7455,若失守7395则下看7375至7360
¹¹。历史信号也暗示短期存在回调风险
¹。
🧭 拥挤度 (一人一票): ▲ 9 位作者 (KOL9) + 群 2 条 vs ▼ 4 位作者 (KOL4) + 群 2 条
⚖️ 多头 9/9 来自KOL
🔗 因果传导 (causal map)
*SPX 在产业链上的传导关系. 边是群里/卖方陈述的因果 (非 AI 推断), 数字 = 几条 atom 支撑. 点 atom 溯源.*
↑ 上游·近期陈述 (3)
- 🔴 CPI · 政策影响 · 1 次陈述
历史数据显示突破 4% 后标普未来 6 个月平均下跌 7%
- 🟢 CTA · 资金轮动 · 1 次陈述
CTA 下周预计再买入 $23B 标普 500
- 🔴 原油 · 成本传导 · 1 次陈述
Need oil rapidly higher to cause a SPX break below 21day EMA (3.5% below) towards the 50 & 200 day (5% below).
📏 估计带 (1)
*语料内对同一量的估计区间 (≥2 个估计才成带). 不判断谁对, 只陈列.*
- 目标价 未标期限 ⚠
混合口径: 30 – 8,250 · 2 个估计 · 最新 2026-05-16 30 (群·cred5)
🔮 前瞻触发器 (forward triggers)
*这些 atom 指向可能 reprice 的前瞻事件 (无精确日期, 仅类型). 配合上面叙事状态看「上膛」程度.*
宏观 (1 · ▲0/▼1)
- 🔴 2026-05-15 · CPI>4% 后 6 个月平均下跌 7%
历史数据显示突破 4% 后标普未来 6 个月平均下跌 7%
🟦 客观事实 (facts) (30)
- <a id="atom-4531341525b341dd"></a>🟦 2026-05-11
X·@amitisinvesting ⭐ · Q1财报超预期比例 · 财报
Reuters reported that 440 S&P 500 companies $SPX have reported, with 83% beating estimates
tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
value: qty=83%
- <a id="atom-b9e9ef50396070e4"></a>🟦 2026-04-17
群 · RSI 11 天从超卖到超买,1982 年以来最快 · 技术指标/SPX/反弹速度
_SPX RSI took just 11 days to go from oversold to overbought – fastest rally since 1982 per BBG (via GS)_
tags: 好数字·好观点 · → daily
- <a id="atom-d6c00929e88f3e23"></a>🟦 2026-05-07
X·@JapanDeepValue1 · 看涨期权名义交易量 · 仓位情绪
2.6 trillion 看涨期权名义交易量 峰值
tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
value: qty=2.6 trillion · date=2026-12-02
[图: 这张图表展示了从1999年至2026年标普500指数(SPX)看涨期权的总名义交易量变化趋势,显示近期交易量出现爆发式增长。 — 2.6 trillion (最新/峰值名义交易量); 6May1999 (图表起始日期); 2Dec2026 (图表结束日期)]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-bfafd3d33c32ee47"></a>🟦 2026-04-16
X·@LukeGromen · price return vs gold · 价格动态/仓位情绪
Since 4q18, SPX up 155%; SPX in gold down 35% (red); SPX Total Return down 27% (green).
tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
value: qty=-34.98% · date=2019-01-01 to 2026-04-16
[图: S&P 500指数与标普500/黄金比率(SPX/GOLD)及标普500总回报/黄金比率(SPXTR/GOLD)自2019至2026年的走势对比图 — S&P 500 Index: +154.07%; SPXTR/GOLD: -26.72%; SPX/GOLD: -34.98%]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-1df608c68a95a5d4"></a>🟦 2026-04-16
X·@LukeGromen · total return vs gold · 价格动态/仓位情绪
SPX Total Return down 27% (green).
tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
value: qty=-26.72% · date=2019-01-01 to 2026-04-16
[图: S&P 500指数与标普500/黄金比率(SPX/GOLD)及标普500总回报/黄金比率(SPXTR/GOLD)自2019至2026年的走势对比图 — S&P 500 Index: +154.07%; SPXTR/GOLD: -26.72%; SPX/GOLD: -34.98%]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-d9a15004733308af"></a>🟦 2026-04-15
X·@AIStockSavvy · 价格 · 价格动态
⚡ 𝐔𝐏𝐃𝐀𝐓𝐄: $SPX S&P 500 CROSSES ABOVE 7000 POINTS
tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
value: qty=7000点 · date=2026-04-15T16:25:31
- <a id="atom-abc4eaaef803573f"></a>🟦 2026-05-01
X·@zerohedge · 创历史新高时负宽度 · 价格动态/仓位情绪
The SPX is about to hit its 4th all time high, of the past 5, on negative breadth: more decliners than advancers
tags: 好数字·好观点 · → daily
value: qty=4th all time high of the past 5 · date=2026-05-01
[图: S&P 500指数走势与上涨/下跌股票差额(市场宽度)对比图,显示指数在负宽度(下跌股票多于上涨股票)下创下历史新高。 — S&P 500指数高点: 约 7200; 净上涨/下跌家数上限: 约 400; 净上涨/下跌家数下限: 约 -600]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-abdda1b73bc86f5a"></a>🟦 2026-05-26
X·@zerohedge · 与 rates 相关性 · 相关性分析/宏观利率
The correlation of SPX vs pretty much every other macro asset has broken down vs the norm: SPX vs rates is at decade lows
tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
value: direction=decade low
- <a id="atom-0ece5e2d5c7b7aa3"></a>🟦 2026-05-26
X·@zerohedge · 与 gold 相关性 · 相关性分析/价格动态
SPX vs gold is at decade highs
tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
value: direction=decade high
- <a id="atom-b1f64f222df89d2e"></a>🟦 2026-05-26
X·@zerohedge · 与 VIX 相关性 · 相关性分析/仓位情绪
SPX vs VIX is at 2y highs
tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
value: direction=2y high
- <a id="atom-fb8d2e3428b53edc"></a>🟦 2026-05-26
X·@zerohedge · 与 oil 相关性 · 相关性分析/价格动态
SPX vs oil (CL3) is at decade lows
tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
value: direction=decade low
- <a id="atom-efd06687a6660d89"></a>🟦 2026-05-16
群 · 自ChatGPT推出以来反弹$30trn · 市场反弹/市值
SPX 自 ChatGPT 推出以来反弹 $30trn
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=$30trn
- <a id="atom-054e441983bebd04"></a>🟦 2026-05-15
群 · CPI>4% 后 6 个月平均下跌 7% · 通胀/历史回测/市场影响
历史数据显示突破 4% 后标普未来 6 个月平均下跌 7%
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=-7% in 6 months
- <a id="atom-336d97b8079b57ed"></a>🟦 2026-06-12
X·@KobeissiLetter · 收盘涨幅 · 价格动态
The S&P 500 officially closes the day +0.5% higher
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=+0.5% · date=2026-06-12
[图: S&P 500 指数单日股价走势图,显示其收盘价及当日涨幅 — 收盘价: 7,431.46; 当日涨幅: +0.50%; 当日上涨点数: +37.16; 前收盘价: 7,394.30]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-1c0efc5867073bfb"></a>🟦 2026-06-12
X·@KobeissiLetter · 收盘点数 · 价格动态
收盘价: 7,431.46
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=7431.46 · date=2026-06-12
[图: S&P 500 指数单日股价走势图,显示其收盘价及当日涨幅 — 收盘价: 7,431.46; 当日涨幅: +0.50%; 当日上涨点数: +37.16; 前收盘价: 7,394.30]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-bc498406788c95d1"></a>🟦 2026-06-12
X·@KobeissiLetter · 当日上涨点数 · 价格动态
当日上涨点数: +37.16
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=+37.16 · date=2026-06-12
[图: S&P 500 指数单日股价走势图,显示其收盘价及当日涨幅 — 收盘价: 7,431.46; 当日涨幅: +0.50%; 当日上涨点数: +37.16; 前收盘价: 7,394.30]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-08c9af4eb289e76c"></a>🟦 2026-06-12
X·@KobeissiLetter · 前收盘价 · 价格动态
前收盘价: 7,394.30
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=7394.30 · date=2026-06-11
[图: S&P 500 指数单日股价走势图,显示其收盘价及当日涨幅 — 收盘价: 7,431.46; 当日涨幅: +0.50%; 当日上涨点数: +37.16; 前收盘价: 7,394.30]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-446c0c6e1769e41c"></a>🟦 2026-06-10
X·@zerohedge · all-time high · 价格动态
SPX hit an all-time high last Tuesday (June 2nd) of 7609
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=7609 · date=2026-06-02
- <a id="atom-0fdb31ddbc110ebd"></a>🟦 2026-06-10
X·@zerohedge · change since June 2nd · 价格动态
SPX has fallen ~4% to ~7300
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=-4% · date=2026-06-10
- <a id="atom-2ae059fa559c738a"></a>🟦 2026-06-04
X·@KobeissiLetter · 同期收益率 · 仓位情绪
By comparison, the S&P 500 is up +116% over this same timeframe.
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=+116% · date=same timeframe
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-498ee9f5dc903b9a"></a>🟦 2026-05-29
X·@zerohedge · call volume session record · 仓位情绪
Today will likely be the largest SPX call volume sessions of all time
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: date=2026-05-29
- <a id="atom-231237192d8eda93"></a>🟦 2026-05-27
X·@zerohedge · 日内波动区间 · 价格动态
SPX intraday band at just 40bps, the lowest tick of the year: GS
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=40bps
- <a id="atom-b5be800bd9a76c0a"></a>🟦 2026-05-23
X·@KobeissiLetter · 累计涨幅 · 价格动态
Over the last 6 years, the S&P 500 has risen +130%
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=+130% · date=6年
- <a id="atom-5a8a508eb3947d8e"></a>🟦 2026-05-22
X·@zerohedge · 本周价格变化 · 价格动态
Stocks & Rates Higher On The Week
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: direction=higher
- <a id="atom-b1173e3d411f7be5"></a>🟦 2026-05-17
X·@cnfinancewatch · 收盘价 · 价格动态
S&P 500下跌1.24%至7408.50点
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=7408.5 · date=2026-05-15
- <a id="atom-68a2be74912355e2"></a>🟦 2026-05-14
X·@zerohedge · 市场宽度恶化 · 仓位情绪/价格动态
Breadth continues deteriorating despite index at new highs, with elevated 52-week lows and fewer stocks driving the tape - have more stocks making new lows than highs in the SPX across 4w/8w/12w/24w/52w
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: direction=worsening
- <a id="atom-97a7f062708c202c"></a>🟦 2026-05-14
X·@zerohedge · gain from Monday open to Wednesday close · 价格动态
In the period Monday open to Wednesday close the SPX has gained 45.32pts
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=45.32pts · date=2026-05-14
- <a id="atom-5ccda6b7e12d48b8"></a>🟦 2026-05-13
X·@zerohedge · 52周新低成分股比例 · 仓位情绪/价格动态
Each of the last four days have seen more than 5% of SPX components making a 52wk low including 9% today!
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=9% · date=2026-05-13
[图: 纽约证券交易所综合指数(NYA)走势、新高/新低比例及麦克莱兰振荡指标的历史走势图表 — NYSE Composite Index Last Price: 22995.14; NYSE New Lows Ratio: 1.4202; NYSE New Highs Ratio: 1.0652; McClellan Oscillator (NYA): -
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-0392ffe4297b01aa"></a>🟦 2026-05-11
X·@KobeissiLetter · 不含AI股两年收益率 · 价格动态
The S&P 500 excluding AI names is up +16% over the last 2 years
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=+16% · date=过去两年
[图: 标普500指数与排除AI概念股后的标普500指数在两年内的归一化收益率对比走势图 — SPX 2y normalized return: +42%; SPX excluding AI stocks: +16%]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-6fd33f6d0e9e4463"></a>🟦 2026-05-11
X·@KobeissiLetter · 整体两年收益率 · 价格动态
the S&P 500 as a whole is up +42%
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=+42% · date=过去两年
[图: 标普500指数与排除AI概念股后的标普500指数在两年内的归一化收益率对比走势图 — SPX 2y normalized return: +42%; SPX excluding AI stocks: +16%]
📷 原图
🟥 多头 takes (bullish) (18)
- <a id="atom-c32fc1a41acc33a0"></a>🟥 2026-05-10
群 · 年底目标价 · 标普目标价/上调
Yardeni 上调标普目标价至 8250
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=8250
- <a id="atom-f884146985e355f5"></a>🟥 2026-06-03
X·@labubu_trader · 短期支撑位 · 价格动态/仓位情绪
My base case is spx bounce from 7500–7550
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=7500–7550
- <a id="atom-ed9ab22bace6663a"></a>🟥 2026-04-15
X·@hungjng69679118 · 年底预测点位 · 业绩指引/估值
年底有望达到 7700 点
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=7700 · date=2026年底
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-32975fac259425d3"></a>🟥 2026-06-25
X·@RealKianOh1 · Charm 강한 Bullish · 仓位情绪
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- <a id="atom-907ce2197ff91c35"></a>🟥 2026-06-25
X·@RealKianOh1 · 시나리오 예측 (7415 이상 유지 시) · 价格动态
7415 이상 유지 시 → 7455 테스트
tags: 好思考 · → daily
value: qty=7455 · date=2026-06-25
- <a id="atom-1f197c441cc304e2"></a>🟥 2026-06-25
X·@RealKianOh1 · 구조 판단 (Bullish Charm + Long Gamma) · 仓位情绪
현재 구조는 'Bullish Charm + Long Gamma' 조합으로, 급락보다는 상방 편향의 레인지 장세에 무게
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- <a id="atom-19f7060f71fb1103"></a>🟥 2026-06-24
X·@ArtofSpecuycky · Put行权墙集中在7300和7200点附近,这是下方支撑垫 · 仓位情绪/价格动态
标普500的期权Put行权墙则集中在7300点和7200点附近,这两个位置目前是下方的支撑垫。做市商为了对冲卖出的Put,价格越接近这里,对冲买盘越多,不容易跌下去
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- <a id="atom-1b91a84079ce66f0"></a>🟥 2026-06-17
X·@AntonLaVay · EPS提升预期 · 盈利能力
油价降低将缓解生产者的压力,最终体现在生产者在财报上EPS的提升,这将有利于 $SPX
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- <a id="atom-c0a2eac701eba376"></a>🟥 2026-06-17
X·@labubu_trader [老化中] · dipped to 50d EMA is high risk/reward opportunity · 仓位情绪
No need to force to trade... until there is a high risk/reward opportunity such as SPX dipped to 50d EMA.
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- <a id="atom-b9dce6eb381b6e6a"></a>🟥 2026-06-09
X·@labubu_trader · CPI inline 情境下的反应预期 · 仓位情绪/宏观利率
market are overly priced in cpi, so if cpi is inline it would be very bullish
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- <a id="atom-9b2ad65f600d3483"></a>🟥 2026-04-26
群 ◌ [老化中] · 回调受 HF 低敞口托底 · 对冲基金/抄底逻辑
Given where HF nets are (low), any earnings dip might get bought?
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- <a id="atom-2c067b1dfc3cce56"></a>🟥 2026-07-02
X·@labubu_trader · 指数点位预测 · 宏观指数
it will pump SPX to 8000
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: qty=8000
- <a id="atom-44579773b2e1104e"></a>🟥 2026-06-10
X·@bigbang_mess_10 · 50日均线支撑看涨 · 仓位情绪
If we hold 50ma of around low 7200s, that’s very bullish
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- <a id="atom-ff9d7171c77a8ccd"></a>🟥 2026-06-09
X·@JaguarAnalytics · 目标价 · 仓位情绪
$SPX is going to charge for 8,000.
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: qty=8,000 · direction=上涨 · date=未指定
- <a id="atom-772eaf805d2e8db5"></a>🟥 2026-06-07
X·@labubu_trader · 预期回踩21日均线 · 价格动态
in 2 weeks or so, SPX will retest the 21d EMA but definitely a higher low
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: qty=21d EMA · date=in 2 weeks or so
- <a id="atom-d87a8324c64f9f6b"></a>🟥 2026-06-03
X·@ChanceQian94 · 价格区间预测 · 价格动态
415吃一波反弹到445问题不大
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: qty=415→445 · date=2026-06-04
- <a id="atom-24a39708d8e56d4b"></a>🟥 2026-06-01
X·@labubu_trader · expected bull run post-OPEX · 仓位情绪
I expect another bull run post-OPEX
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- <a id="atom-acca6d27b70caaf0"></a>🟥 2026-05-07
X·@orrdavid [老化中] · 泡沫判断 · 仓位情绪
just doesn't seem like a bubble at least in the main stocks
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: direction=否定
🟥 空头 takes (bearish) (13)
- <a id="atom-5ca11f00862fc468"></a>🟥 2026-05-02
X·@zerohedge ⭐ [老化中] · 市场焦虑水平上升 · 仓位情绪
Market Level Anxiety Is Rising Again
tags: 好思考·好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-13b9a7d2881005b4"></a>🟥 2026-05-02
X·@zerohedge [老化中] · 上涨趋势收窄 · 仓位情绪/价格动态
Top Goldman Trader Sees Narrowing Rally
tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
- <a id="atom-11cbe5378767ac16"></a>🟥 2026-04-26
群 [老化中] · 跌破关键均线条件 · 技术面/油价
Need oil rapidly higher to cause a SPX break below 21day EMA (3.5% below) towards the 50 & 200 day (5% below).
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: desc=需油价大幅上涨,跌破21日均线需再跌3.5%,滑向50/200日均线需再跌5%
- <a id="atom-07b204e115f5e092"></a>🟥 2026-05-14
X·@zerohedge · 历史信号暗示短期回调 · 仓位情绪
Historically, This Has Signaled A Short-Term Pullback
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- <a id="atom-6e6f6bd80473cb77"></a>🟥 2026-06-25
X·@RealKianOh1 · 시나리오 예측 (7395 이탈 시) · 价格动态
7395 이탈 시 → 7375 → 7360까지 하방 압력 확대
tags: 好思考 · → daily
value: qty=7360 · date=2026-06-25
- <a id="atom-b0a6cfa430e125ba"></a>🟥 2026-06-17
X·@labubu_trader · might be very choppy for rest of June · 价格动态
After a more careful thinking, I think I'd not buy eveything back for the rest of June as it might be very choppy.
tags: 好思考 · → daily
value: date=2026-06-30
- <a id="atom-aa32db541ee953ce"></a>🟥 2026-04-26
群 ◌ [老化中] · 战术回调风险 · 技术面/回调风险/市场情绪
Usual month end pension selling, CTAs are full, breadth is worsening, semis up 18 days in a row
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- <a id="atom-483160ac02f23a19"></a>🟥 2026-06-08
X·@labubu_trader [老旧] · 技术性仓位调整计划 · 仓位情绪
If spx close < 5330, heavily cut. If spx can’t reclaim 7495 by the end of Wed, heavily cut.
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: direction=cut · level1=5330 · level2=7495
- <a id="atom-4c485423975667a5"></a>🟥 2026-06-08
X·@labubu_trader · 收盘价 · 价格动态/技术分析
today's close is too weak below 21d ema
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- <a id="atom-4da81479ee97e7fb"></a>🟥 2026-05-23
X·@labubu_trader · 短期走势观点 · 仓位情绪
Yes I’m still very bullish on SPX and SMH for the whole year. But I think in the next 1-2 weeks, SPX will form a bull trap.
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: direction=下跌 · date=2026-05-23至2026-06-06
- <a id="atom-1c5a6a982823577d"></a>🟥 2026-05-13
X·@LZ41576310 [老旧] · 价格水平 · 价格动态
怕到6200的时候没钱😞
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: qty=6200
- <a id="atom-c1110f6e504b0e97"></a>🟥 2026-04-30
X·@labubu_trader · 回测目标位 · 价格动态
SPX might retest 20d MA at around 6950-7000
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- <a id="atom-0f9d32bb9e550c2c"></a>🟥 2026-06-08
X·@labubu_trader [老旧] · 技术性仓位调整水平 · 仓位情绪
If spx close < 5330, heavily cut. If spx can’t reclaim 7495 by the end of Wed, heavily cut.
tags: 好问题 · → daily
value: direction=cut · level1=5330 · level2=7495
🟥 中性 takes (neutral) (7)
- <a id="atom-a0237b56f84fdcb3"></a>🟥 2026-06-05
X·@zerohedge · spot/vol correlation break · 仓位情绪
Another sign of a break in recent trading pattern, SPX traded spot up vol down today with front end vols offered alongside a relaxation in skew.
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- <a id="atom-32786a10cb3248be"></a>🟥 2026-06-17
X·@labubu_trader · need to see reversal price action at EMA50 · 价格动态
We need to see a reversal price action at that level similar to last Tuesday
tags: 好思考 · → daily
- <a id="atom-c5e5d0e70d9f459a"></a>🟥 2026-05-18
X·@dampedspring · 2000年vs2026年市盈率比较 · 估值/宏观对比
A has a p/e of 87 and B has a P/E of 45.5. Based on NTM earnings
tags: 好思考 · → daily
value: qty=87 vs 45.5 · date=2026-05-18
- <a id="atom-d567f27a4f67af5d"></a>🟥 2026-06-07
X·@labubu_trader · 预期下跌时间窗口 · 市场波动
I’d say late August or September will be similar to Oct last year
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: date=late August or September
- <a id="atom-b025f824c280b716"></a>🟥 2026-05-29
X·@labubu_trader · bull trap 触发条件 · 仓位情绪
we need to see SPX have a "fake" breakout first, there is no breakout yet, so no bull trap for now
tags: 好观点 · → daily
- <a id="atom-d4ac22ff941e88fc"></a>🟥 2026-05-17
X·@stevehou · proper pullback定义 · 仓位情绪
A proper pullback means 2% on the index
tags: 好观点 · → daily
value: qty=2% · direction=down
- <a id="atom-7d05313b627e0e06"></a>🟥 2026-05-13
X·@SVTrivo · 수익률 350%면 사람이 못 견딘다 · 仓位情绪
심리학자들에 따르면, 수익률 350%면 사람이 못 견딘답니다.
tags: 好问题 · → daily
🟦 新闻流 (squawk · 12)
展开新闻流 (FirstSquawk / financialjuice / wallstengine / DeItaone — 快讯, 非原创 take)
- <a id="atom-148b545054199049"></a>🟥 2026-06-16
X·@wallstengine · 2026年EPS预期 · 盈利能力
2026 EPS raised to $340
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=$340 · date=2026
- <a id="atom-6b90c8e020e0f348"></a>🟦 2026-05-05
X·@financialjuice · 期权交易商净权利金 · 仓位情绪/价格动态
Dealers have collected roughly $590.98B in total option premium
tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
value: qty=$590.98B
[图: SPX期权交易商净权利金(包含内含价值)及0DTE期权净权利金数据面板 — Net Dealer Premium (Incl. Intrinsic): 590,979,384,636.25; Net 0dte Dealer Premium (Incl. Intrinsic): 1,916,965,076]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-50a0dfd41d42e0e1"></a>🟦 2026-05-05
X·@financialjuice · 0DTE期权净权利金 · 仓位情绪/价格动态
0DTE premium is about $1.92B today
tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
value: qty=$1.92B · date=2026-05-05
[图: SPX期权交易商净权利金(包含内含价值)及0DTE期权净权利金数据面板 — Net Dealer Premium (Incl. Intrinsic): 590,979,384,636.25; Net 0dte Dealer Premium (Incl. Intrinsic): 1,916,965,076]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-a11bacd3172fd057"></a>🟥 2026-05-05
X·@financialjuice [老化中] · 0DTE期权活动影响 · 仓位情绪/价格动态
lighter same-day options activity that may imply more muted intraday flow impact
tags: 好观点 · → daily
[图: SPX期权交易商净权利金(包含内含价值)及0DTE期权净权利金数据面板 — Net Dealer Premium (Incl. Intrinsic): 590,979,384,636.25; Net 0dte Dealer Premium (Incl. Intrinsic): 1,916,965,076]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-9f7dee40e649e922"></a>🟦 2026-05-05
X·@financialjuice · 每日Delta对冲买盘规模 · 仓位情绪/价格动态
Delta hedging (~$35.66B): suggests dealers may need to buy underlying (or futures) to stay hedged against price moves, implying potentially strong flow impact.
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=$35.66B · date=2026-05-05 · direction=positive
[图: SPX期权市场每日交易商希腊字母对冲再平衡资金流向估算面板 — Daily Delta Hedging: $35,655,193,600; Daily Vega Hedging: -$8,411,112,779; Daily Theta Hedging: $15,597,399]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-a2c60cb215024d7c"></a>🟦 2026-05-05
X·@financialjuice · 每日Vega对冲净规模 · 仓位情绪/价格动态
Vega hedging (~-$8.41B): exposure to changes in implied volatility; typically managed through repricing options, with the negative figure indicating declining volatility sensitivity.
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=-$8.41B · date=2026-05-05 · direction=negative
[图: SPX期权市场每日交易商希腊字母对冲再平衡资金流向估算面板 — Daily Delta Hedging: $35,655,193,600; Daily Vega Hedging: -$8,411,112,779; Daily Theta Hedging: $15,597,399]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-43d3850b4c83b582"></a>🟦 2026-05-05
X·@financialjuice · 每日Theta对冲规模 · 仓位情绪/价格动态
Theta hedging (~$15.60M): the impact of one day passing on the dealer book; like vega, this is largely handled through option repricing, with time decay adding modestly to hedging needs.
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=$15.60M · date=2026-05-05 · direction=positive
[图: SPX期权市场每日交易商希腊字母对冲再平衡资金流向估算面板 — Daily Delta Hedging: $35,655,193,600; Daily Vega Hedging: -$8,411,112,779; Daily Theta Hedging: $15,597,399]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-21075dd4e19cc361"></a>🟦 2026-05-04
X·@financialjuice · Dealer Premium总额 · 仓位情绪
Volland SPX Dealer Premium: $580.99B
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=$580.99B · date=2026-05-04
[图: SPX交易员期权净权利金与0DTE净权利金数据面板 — Net Dealer Premium (Incl. Intrinsic): 580,986,851,462.25; Net 0dte Dealer Premium (Incl. Intrinsic): 2,760,967,578]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-cc32403aa5dd7d24"></a>🟦 2026-05-04
X·@financialjuice · 0DTE期权总权利金 · 仓位情绪
0DTE premium is about $2.76B today
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=$2.76B · date=2026-05-04
[图: SPX交易员期权净权利金与0DTE净权利金数据面板 — Net Dealer Premium (Incl. Intrinsic): 580,986,851,462.25; Net 0dte Dealer Premium (Incl. Intrinsic): 2,760,967,578]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-2edd20a683d3a865"></a>🟦 2026-05-01
X·@financialjuice · Delta hedging 金额 · 仓位情绪
Delta hedging (~$15.52B): suggests dealers may need to buy underlying (or futures) to stay hedged against price moves.
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=$15.52B
[图: SPX期权市场的希腊字母每日对冲估算数据面板 — Daily Delta Hedging: $15,517,730,909; Daily Vega Hedging: -$7,059,037,417; Daily Theta Hedging: $518,475]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-8fd8daaad2f9a80e"></a>🟦 2026-05-01
X·@financialjuice · Vega hedging 金额 · 仓位情绪
Vega hedging (~-$7.06B): exposure to changes in implied volatility; typically managed through repricing options, with the negative figure suggesting volatility sensitivity is declining.
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=-$7.06B
[图: SPX期权市场的希腊字母每日对冲估算数据面板 — Daily Delta Hedging: $15,517,730,909; Daily Vega Hedging: -$7,059,037,417; Daily Theta Hedging: $518,475]
📷 原图
- <a id="atom-26f0760bfc65c4bd"></a>🟦 2026-05-01
X·@financialjuice · Theta hedging 金额 · 仓位情绪
Theta hedging (~$0.52M): the impact of one day passing on the dealer book; like vega, this is largely handled through option repricing, with minimal additional hedging pressure from time decay.
tags: 好数字 · → daily
value: qty=$0.52M
[图: SPX期权市场的希腊字母每日对冲估算数据面板 — Daily Delta Hedging: $15,517,730,909; Daily Vega Hedging: -$7,059,037,417; Daily Theta Hedging: $518,475]
📷 原图
⏱ 时间轴 (近 20)
- 🟥 2026-07-02 ·
forecast · 指数点位预测 · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · Charm 강한 Bullish · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · 예상 변동폭 · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · 주요 레인지 · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · Resistance 레벨 · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · Extension Target · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · 하방 Support 레벨 · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · 하방 Extension Target · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-25 ·
forecast · 시나리오 예측 (7415 이상 유지 시) · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-25 ·
forecast · 시나리오 예측 (7395 이탈 시) · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-25 ·
narrative · 구조 판단 (Bullish Charm + Long Gamma) · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-24 ·
narrative · Put行权墙集中在7300和7200点附近,这是下方支撑垫 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-23 ·
fact · CTA 1周持平走势估算 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-23 ·
fact · CTA 1周下跌走势估算 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-23 ·
fact · CTA 1个月下跌走势估算 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-23 ·
fact · 短期枢轴位 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-23 ·
fact · 中期枢轴位 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-22 ·
fact · 收盘价 · → daily
- 🟦 2026-06-22 ·
fact · 52周高点 · → daily
- 🟥 2026-06-17 ·
narrative · EPS提升预期 · → daily
← 实体目录 · 系统日志