Goldman Sachs

309 atoms · 跨 68 天 · 首见 2026-04-15 · 最近 2026-07-02

三色: 🟦 fact 151 · 🟥 take 158 · stance ▲119/▼75/◆65

叙事状态: ⚔️ contested (分歧) · 📈 加速 · 策展近14d 1 atom · 🐦 X 近14d 23

状态只算低频策展源 (群/卖方); X firehose 仅作背景音量

来源: 群 2 · X 306

时态: fresh:273 · aging:22 · stale:9 · expired:5

标签: 好信源:171 · 好观点:100 · 好数字:93 · 好思考:16 · 好问题:1

🟨 AI 综合 · junior analyst 概览

🧭 拥挤度 (一人一票): ▲ 15 位作者 (KOL14 · 卖方1) + 群 1 条 vs ▼ 7 位作者 (KOL7)

⚖️ 多头 14/15 来自KOL

📄 广泛报道的事实 · 7 个

💢 核心分歧 (5 轴)

1. 降息预期 提前 vs 推迟 博弈

*topic: 宏观利率 · 9 bull vs 12 bear*

🟢 bullish 侧:

• <a id="atom-94440e0f4ddda17c"></a>2026-04-27 X·@DeItaone · 预测9月和12月各降息25个基点 · 宏观利率
  Goldman Sachs expects easing later this year, forecasting two 25-basis-point cuts in September and December
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: qty=50 · date=2026-12 · direction=down
• <a id="atom-583a122adf3b364e"></a>2026-05-28 X·@FirstSquawk · Waldron 对名义增长的陈述 · 宏观利率 +同日1条
  GOLDMAN SACHS PRESIDENT JOHN WALDRON SAYS WE'RE IN A WORLD OF VERY STRONG NOMINAL GROWTH
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-180908d5db8c69e9"></a>2026-06-07 X·@FirstSquawk · Fed利率预测变更 · 宏观利率/评级目标价
  Goldman Sachs Now Expects Fed to Deliver Two Rate Cuts in Late 2027 Instead of 2026–2027 Window
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: date=2027年末
• <a id="atom-a43ed235989cf381"></a>2026-06-08 X·@wallstengine · 2026年美联储降息预期 · 宏观利率 +同日1条
  Goldman no longer expects the Fed to cut rates this year
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  [图: 高盛取消2026年美联储降息预测的新闻及数据摘要截图 — 高盛股价跌幅: -4.94%; 5月新增非农就业人数: 172,000; 5月失业率: 4.3%; 高盛预测加息概率: 20%; 2026年核心PCE通胀预测: >3%]
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-49c096a6761925b6"></a>2026-06-22 X·@DeItaone ⭐ · 12个月美国经济衰退概率预测 · 宏观利率/经济预期
  Goldman Sachs lowered its 12-month U.S. recession probability to 15% from 25%
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=15% · date=12个月

🔴 bearish 侧:

• <a id="atom-a3db664d0d91c11b"></a>2026-05-08 X·@zerohedge · 利率预测修正 · 宏观利率
  We are pushing back the final two Fed rate cuts in our forecast by one quarter to December 2026 and March 2027
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: date=2026-12 · direction=推迟
• <a id="atom-b746756783707238"></a>2026-05-11 X·@zerohedge · FOMC降息预测时间调整 · 宏观利率 +同日1条
  Goldman is pushing back the final two Fed rate cuts in our forecast by one quarter to December 2026 and March 2027
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: qty=推后一个季度 · date=第一次2026年12月, 第二次2027年3月
• <a id="atom-bd990e7fbf0f2c71"></a>2026-05-14 X·@zerohedge · advises US homebuyers not to expect a Canadian-style drop in housing · 宏观利率/价格动态
  Goldman Tells US Homebuyers Not To Expect A "Canadian-Style" Drop In Housing
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-8820c1214a591329"></a>2026-05-18 X·@DeItaone · 推后降息预期至2026年后 · 宏观利率
  pushed back expectations for rate cuts through 2026
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: date=2026 · direction=bearish
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-d3c179a110ccd284"></a>2026-05-19 X·@DeItaone · predicts near-term equity correction triggered by oil, inflation, yields · 仓位情绪/宏观利率
  Goldman warns that rising oil prices, persistent inflation, and higher bond yields could trigger a near-term equity correction
  tags: 好观点 · → daily

2. 比特币ETF 机构化机遇 vs 波动性风险

*topic: 仓位情绪/机构采用 · 14 bull vs 30 bear*

🟢 bullish 侧:

• <a id="atom-f33bd030583c9926"></a>2026-05-01 X·@zerohedge [老旧] · USDJPY 仓位重建计划 · 仓位情绪
  Goldman desk back in USDJPY: "We plan to build back into ~50/60% of the max size we had yesterday"
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=50/60% of max size · direction=long
• <a id="atom-c7e4682aa9666829"></a>2026-05-08 X·@Alisvolatprop12 · 韩市场估值观点 · 仓位情绪/评级目标价
  Goldman Sachs 韩市场亚洲最吸引人，KOSPI 9000 上调
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=KOSPI 9000 · date=2026-05-08
• <a id="atom-aae0a59f127cc8b4"></a>2026-05-18 X·@DeItaone · 认为地缘政治担忧缓解推动强劲股市和AI行情 · 市场风险/仓位情绪
  Analyst Dominic Wilson said easing geopolitical fears have driven a strong equity and AI-led rally
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=bullish
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-fee4ff009fded76a"></a>2026-05-19 X·@zengying1107 · 持有比特币ETF仓位价值 · 仓位情绪
  但仍然保留约1100亿日元的比特币ETF
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=1100亿日元
• <a id="atom-7203aa73b5a9b4ae"></a>2026-05-24 X·@zerohedge · hedgies are 'All In On AI' · 仓位情绪/数据中心增长 +同日1条
  Sentiment Remains Resilient, 'Almost Defiant', As Goldman Sees Hedgies "All In On AI"
  tags: 好信源 · → daily

🔴 bearish 侧:

• <a id="atom-2c25549a30afa84e"></a>2026-04-19 X·@zerohedge · flows guru forecasts hard tape · 仓位情绪 +同日1条
  Technical Tailwinds Are Coming To An End: Goldman Flows Guru Warns 'This Remains A Very Hard Tape'
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-e2012046bbc6de50"></a>2026-04-26 X·@zerohedge · warns of market pullback · 仓位情绪
  Goldman Desk Braces For Market Pullback: "Five Warning Signs Are Flashing"
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-baab04dd9a1a2c56"></a>2026-04-27 X·@zerohedge [老化中] · 交易活动水平评级 · 仓位情绪
  Goldman EOD wrap: 'Our floor was a 3 on a 1-10 scale in terms of overall activity levels. Our floor finished -8% for sale on lighter activity levels vs a 30-day avg of +23bps'
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-6a6f2b5fbc1faf95"></a>2026-04-29 X·@zerohedge [老化中] · 描述零售投资者行为变化 · 仓位情绪
  Retail Has Moved From 'Buy The Dip' To 'Trade The Mania'
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=from 'Buy The Dip' to 'Trade The Mania' · date=2026-04-30
• <a id="atom-601c3e64be76fd61"></a>2026-05-01 X·@zerohedge · 警告市场崩溃风险飙升，市场宽度触及互联网泡沫低点 · 仓位情绪
  Goldman Warns Crash Risk Spiking As Market Breadth Plummets To Dot Com Bubble Lows
  tags: 好观点 · → daily

3. AI/半导体 结构性增长 vs 估值泡沫

*topic: 估值/订单需求 · 14 bull vs 2 bear*

🟢 bullish 侧:

• <a id="atom-c1c1999a78882532"></a>2026-04-17 X·@wallstengine [老化中] · 对CRVS观点 · 订单需求/竞争格局 +同日3条
  Stock at an attractive entry point for the leading emerging oral option in the large post-Dupixent atopic dermatitis market
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
  value: direction=看多
• <a id="atom-bfee23c6066098cd"></a>2026-04-27 X·@zerohedge · EV demand momentum forecast · 订单需求/价格动态
  Goldman Says EV Demand Gaining Momentum Amid Fuel Price Shock
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=gaining momentum · date=2026-04-27
• <a id="atom-e0bd633e29e1f9ac"></a>2026-05-03 X·@aleabitoreddit · 预期光模块引擎EPS上行 · 订单需求 +同日2条
  Optical modules and engines 有 significant EPS upside
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  [图: 高盛关于光模块、激光器和PCB/CCL行业前景及买入评级推荐个股的研究报告文本截图]
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-c6da0996487dff42"></a>2026-05-30 X·@trevornoren · 预测token消费量增长倍数 · 订单需求 +同日1条
  Goldman Sachs has estimated that, "With consumers and enterprises adopting AI agents, token consumption is expected to multiply 24 times, to 120 quadrillion tokens per month, between 2026 and 2030."
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=增长24倍 · date=2026至2030年
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-be1d435ca84a3a38"></a>2026-06-22 X·@demian_ai · AI-server MLCC TAM forecast by 2030 · TAM/订单需求
  Goldman sees 4x+ by 2030
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=4x+ by 2030
  📷 原图

🔴 bearish 侧:

• <a id="atom-0203e2078942f9ef"></a>2026-05-18 X·@DeItaone · 警告AI估值过高 · 估值/市场风险
  The bank also cautioned on stretched AI valuations
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=bearish
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-adb0172b7a420786"></a>2026-06-20 X·@knockouttrader · global smartphone forecast 2026 · 订单需求/出货量
  Goldman now expects global smartphone shipments to decline 10% in 2026 before recovering modestly in 2027-28.
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=decline 10% · date=2026
  📷 原图

4. 地缘政治 短期冲击 vs 长期风险

*topic: 地缘政治/价格动态 · 14 bull vs 18 bear*

🟢 bullish 侧:

• <a id="atom-05cb3e073ae0d1ee"></a>2026-04-27 X·@FirstSquawk · oil price forecast · 价格动态
  GOLDMAN SACHS RAISES OIL PRICE FORECAST AS WAR DISRUPTION DRAGS ON -FT
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: direction=raised
• <a id="atom-0b60f09cf5a354bb"></a>2026-04-27 X·@zerohedge · oil price forecast · 价格动态
  Goldman Hikes Oil Price Forecast... Again
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: direction=upward · date=current
• <a id="atom-191e8d4733eb4fdc"></a>2026-05-07 X·@zerohedge [老化中] · warns of extreme physical tightness in UK jet fuel · 价格动态/供给产能
  Goldman Warns Of "Extreme Physical Tightness"
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: qty= · date=
• <a id="atom-308bc6495d9f93a8"></a>2026-05-16 X·@zerohedge [已过期] · 2025 gold price target · 价格动态 +同日1条
  Goldman Reiterates $5400 Gold Target
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=$5400 · date=2025
• <a id="atom-40af3fcff3ee5684"></a>2026-05-22 X·@StockMKTNewz · 股价创历史新高 · 价格动态
  Goldman Sachs $GS hit new ALL TIME HIGHS at some point today
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: date=2026-05-22

🔴 bearish 侧:

• <a id="atom-2c115ced487e2f23"></a>2026-05-13 X·@zerohedge · mortgage delinquency rise flag · 价格动态
  Goldman Flags Troubling Mortgage Delinquency Rise Across This U.S. Region
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=up
• <a id="atom-0fffac2bf621db01"></a>2026-05-18 X·@DeItaone · 认为中东局势升级是最大市场风险 · 地缘政治/市场风险 +同日1条
  GOLDMAN: MIDDLE EAST ESCALATION IS TOP MARKET RISK
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=bearish
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-8ff8445ada16cb0a"></a>2026-05-28 X·@DeItaone · Waldron geopolitical supply shock warning · 地缘政治/供给产能
  GOLDMAN'S WALDRON: GEOPOLITICS SUPPLY SHOCKS COULD GET WORSE
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-e05906744fda589f"></a>2026-06-08 X·@wallstengine · 股价单日跌幅 · 价格动态
  高盛股价跌幅: -4.94%
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=-4.94%
  [图: 高盛取消2026年美联储降息预测的新闻及数据摘要截图 — 高盛股价跌幅: -4.94%; 5月新增非农就业人数: 172,000; 5月失业率: 4.3%; 高盛预测加息概率: 20%; 2026年核心PCE通胀预测: >3%]
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-370ff9c6c6a7b81d"></a>2026-06-11 X·@FirstSquawk · 2027年布伦特原油价格预测 · 价格动态
  Goldman Sachs cut its 2027 Brent crude outlook to $80/bbl
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=$80/bbl · date=2027

5. 传统交易 复苏 vs 拖累

*topic: 盈利能力/营收压力 · 10 bull vs 3 bear*

🟢 bullish 侧:

• <a id="atom-71ad9973af329544"></a>2026-04-19 X·@DrNHJ ⭐ · 对台湾PCB/CCL企业EPS预期调整 · 盈利能力/评级目标价
  주당순이익(EPS) 추정치를 17~29% 상향
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=17~29% · direction=up · date=2026-04-18
• <a id="atom-860139c3c36ddff6"></a>2026-05-10 X·@cnfinancewatch · forecast CSP operating profit inflection 2026 · 盈利能力
  高盛报告: 非常有利于CSP: 2026年的利润大拐点
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: date=2026
• <a id="atom-70e813d18760b97a"></a>2026-05-28 X·@cnfinancewatch · 2026年EPS预期 · 盈利能力
  2026年EPS预期上调至340美元（+24%）
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=340美元
• <a id="atom-47d3a9588b8f266f"></a>2026-05-31 X·@jukan05 · SK Hynix 2026 operating profit forecast upgrade · 盈利能力 +同日2条
  Goldman Sachs raises its SK Hynix operating profit forecasts: 2026: KRW 261tn ($173.1bn) → KRW 271tn ($179.8bn)
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=KRW 271tn ($179.8bn) · date=2026
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-676e50b07f04dcb4"></a>2026-05-31 X·@DrNHJ ⭐ · NAND 盈利高点预测 · 盈利能力 +同日1条
  이번 사이클의 수익 고점이 이전 예상보다 훨씬 높을 것이며, 매출과 이익 성장이 회계연도 2029년 3월(FY3/29)까지 지속될 것으로 전망
  tags: 好思考·好观点 · → daily
  value: date=FY3/29

🔴 bearish 侧:

• <a id="atom-6b2cc1bc94de6505"></a>2026-04-15 X·@FirstSquawk · 利率交易业务受冲击 · 营收压力
  GOLDMAN'S RATES-TRADING BUSINESS TOOK A HIT AS INTEREST RATES SURGED FOLLOWING US & ISRAELI ATTACKS ON IRAN, FUELING DISAPPOINTING RESULTS THAT SURPRISED INVESTORS & PRESSURED SHARES
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty= · date=2026-04-15
• <a id="atom-a23460e656bd64f1"></a>2026-06-03 X·@BusinessInsider · 观点: AI实施导致公司亏损增加 · 盈利能力/资本开支
  In a lot of ways, companies are losing more money today implementing this technology than they were two years ago
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-69b12a1ea34f24c0"></a>2026-06-23 X·@trevornoren · reconciliation of AI capex market value with profit gains requires optimistic assumptions · 估值/盈利能力
  It is still possible to reconcile this market value with a macro estimate of future profit gains. But it requires more optimistic assumptions...
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  📷 原图

🔮 前瞻触发器 (forward triggers)

*这些 atom 指向可能 reprice 的前瞻事件 (无精确日期, 仅类型). 配合上面叙事状态看「上膛」程度.*

监管/政策 (1 · ▲0/▼0)

• ⚪ 2026-04-28 · 因合规暂停使用 Claude
  Goldman Sachs 因 Anthropic 合同严格解释停止香港员工使用 Claude

📊 程序化变化 (近 7 天)

• 已过期 forecast: 1 条

🟦 客观事实 (facts) (30)

• <a id="atom-5a4f39531d4eb306"></a>🟦 2026-06-29 X·@KobeissiLetter ⭐ · 报告对冲基金卖出美国IT股票规模 · 仓位情绪
  BREAKING: Hedge funds sold the most US information technology equities in the week ending June 25th since data began in 2016
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=最大规模 · date=截至6月25日当周
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-dc82720c46ab00dc"></a>🟦 2026-06-29 X·@KobeissiLetter ⭐ · 报告对冲基金卖出美国IT股票规模超过2024年8月 · 仓位情绪
  This even exceeds August 2024, when the Nasdaq 100 fell over -10%
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: date=截至6月25日当周
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-e1479985e53a4900"></a>🟦 2026-06-29 X·@KobeissiLetter ⭐ · 报告对冲基金卖出美国股票规模仅次于2025年4月 · 仓位情绪
  In total, hedge funds sold the most US equities since the April 2025 'Liberation Day' selloff
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: date=截至6月25日当周
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-343f4582002f22c6"></a>🟦 2026-06-29 X·@DrNHJ ⭐ · 2027年HBM价格预测涨幅上调 · 价格动态
  삼성전자의 2027년 HBM 가격 상승률 전망치를 기존 +14%에서 +44%로 대폭 상향 조정
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=14%→44% · date=2027年
• <a id="atom-092cb7ff83d04c84"></a>🟦 2026-06-29 X·@DrNHJ ⭐ · Samsung 2027年HBM价格涨幅预测上调 · 价格动态
  삼성전자의 2027년 HBM 가격 상승률 전망치를 기존 +14%에서 +44%로 대폭 상향 조정
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=14%→44% · date=2027年
• <a id="atom-47c840ac96a1b83c"></a>🟦 2026-06-22 X·@zerohedge ⭐ [已过期] · 中国Q2实际GDP预测 · 宏观利率/业绩指引
  Goldman cuts China GDP forecast: "We nudge down our Q2 real GDP forecast from 4.0% qoq annualized to 3.5% on the back of weak April and May data, implying year-over-year growth of 4.5% (vs. 4.7% previously)."
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=3.5% · date=Q2 2026
• <a id="atom-35cdfe38dd5f6712"></a>🟦 2026-06-19 X·@zerohedge ⭐ · 代理经济月Token量预测 · 代理经济/Token增长
  "120 Quadrillion Tokens Monthly By 2030": Goldman's Deep Dive Into The Coming Agentic Economy
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=120 Quadrillion Tokens Monthly · date=by 2030
• <a id="atom-7081aac42ec3ed98"></a>🟦 2026-06-15 X·@zerohedge ⭐ · 零售卖出失衡数据 · 仓位情绪
  June 5th saw the largest sell imbalance in the past 17 months. At $2.7 bn, this was the largest sell imbalance since the start of 2025 by ~$1bn.
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=$2.7 bn · date=2026-06-05
  [图: 零售买入/卖出失衡日度数据图表及历史最大卖出失衡列表 — 2026年6月5日卖出失衡额: $2.7bn; 第二大卖出失衡额: $1.7bn; 自2025年以来的卖出失衡天数: 20天]
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-4180909ffa5c547f"></a>🟦 2026-06-15 X·@zerohedge ⭐ · 零售卖出失衡天数比例 · 仓位情绪
  only 2.6% of 2026 trading sessions have seen retail sell imbalances
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=2.6% · date=2026 YTD
• <a id="atom-08f651731a67dd28"></a>🟦 2026-06-15 X·@zerohedge ⭐ · 2026Q4 Brent forecast · 价格动态
  We are reducing our 2026Q4 Brent forecast to $80 (vs. $90 previously)
  tags: 好信源·好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=$80 · date=2026Q4
  [图: 布伦特原油现货价格（Brent Spot Price）在不同情境（上行、基准、下行及远期）下的预测走势图（2026年1月至2028年1月） — 上行情境峰值 (Jan-27): 约 133 $/bbl; 基准情境终点 (Dec-27): 约 70 $/bbl; 下行情境最低点 (Dec-27): 约 54 $/bbl; 历史高点 (Apr-26):
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-26d99a456647a9c6"></a>🟦 2026-06-15 X·@zerohedge ⭐ · 2027 average Brent forecast · 价格动态
  and to $75 (vs. $80 prior) for the 2027 average
  tags: 好信源·好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=$75 · date=2027
  [图: 布伦特原油现货价格（Brent Spot Price）在不同情境（上行、基准、下行及远期）下的预测走势图（2026年1月至2028年1月） — 上行情境峰值 (Jan-27): 约 133 $/bbl; 基准情境终点 (Dec-27): 约 70 $/bbl; 下行情境最低点 (Dec-27): 约 54 $/bbl; 历史高点 (Apr-26):
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-4c3a05e406fbb636"></a>🟦 2026-06-02 X·@trevornoren ⭐ · 预测2026年美国股票总供应量 · IPO供应/股权供应
  Goldman Sachs analysts are predicting total US equity supply of $1.175t in 2026, consisting of $225b of IPOs, $450b of other corporate stock sales, and another $500b gradually dribbling out from corporate executives and early investors in the IPOs
  tags: 好信源·好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=$1.175t · date=2026
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-f48fb23030c11183"></a>🟦 2026-06-02 X·@trevornoren ⭐ · 预测2026年IPO规模 · IPO供应
  $225b of IPOs
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=$225b · date=2026
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-90586ca31e34e776"></a>🟦 2026-06-02 X·@trevornoren ⭐ · 预测2026年其他公司股票销售规模 · 股权供应
  $450b of other corporate stock sales
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=$450b · date=2026
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-f428708505a6a4ff"></a>🟦 2026-06-02 X·@trevornoren ⭐ · 预测2026年公司高管和早期投资者抛售规模 · 股权供应
  another $500b gradually dribbling out from corporate executives and early investors in the IPOs
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=$500b · date=2026
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-17096eff61d25fac"></a>🟦 2026-05-07 X·@zerohedge ⭐ · 月度 token 预测 · token量预测
  120 Quadrillion Tokens Monthly By 2030
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=120 quadrillion · date=2030
• <a id="atom-be1d435ca84a3a38"></a>🟦 2026-06-22 X·@demian_ai · AI-server MLCC TAM forecast by 2030 · TAM/订单需求
  Goldman sees 4x+ by 2030
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=4x+ by 2030
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-734098fa4d3bd97a"></a>🟦 2026-05-28 X·@cnfinancewatch · 标普500目标价 · 评级目标价
  Goldman Sachs上调标普500目标至8000点
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=8000点 · date=2026
• <a id="atom-70e813d18760b97a"></a>🟦 2026-05-28 X·@cnfinancewatch · 2026年EPS预期 · 盈利能力
  2026年EPS预期上调至340美元（+24%）
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=340美元
• <a id="atom-fee4ff009fded76a"></a>🟦 2026-05-19 X·@zengying1107 · 持有比特币ETF仓位价值 · 仓位情绪
  但仍然保留约1100亿日元的比特币ETF
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=1100亿日元
• <a id="atom-55b2b51bb43bcb68"></a>🟦 2026-06-15 X·@zerohedge ⭐ · Persian Gulf exports normalization timeline · 供给产能
  We now assume that Persian Gulf exports normalize to pre-war levels by the end of July (vs. end of August previously)
  tags: 好信源·好思考 · → daily
  value: date=end of July 2026
  [图: 布伦特原油现货价格（Brent Spot Price）在不同情境（上行、基准、下行及远期）下的预测走势图（2026年1月至2028年1月） — 上行情境峰值 (Jan-27): 约 133 $/bbl; 基准情境终点 (Dec-27): 约 70 $/bbl; 下行情境最低点 (Dec-27): 约 54 $/bbl; 历史高点 (Apr-26):
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-eaf35ebb66f2d61d"></a>🟦 2026-05-27 X·@trevornoren · 布伦特原油Q4均价预期 · 能源/价格动态
  Goldman Sach expected Brent crude at an average of $90 per barrel in the fourth quarter of the year
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=$90/桶 · date=2026年Q4
  [图: 高收益债券与对应公开股票在不同评级下调档数下的回报率对比柱状图 — -6档下调股票回报率: -49%; -6档下调债券回报率: -17%; -3档下调股票回报率: -33%; 0档下调股票回报率: 13%; 0档下调债券回报率: 8%]
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-0a502b8840c24269"></a>🟦 2026-06-21 X·@TheTranscript_ · CEO 任命背景 · 管理层表态/人事变动
  Becoming CEO involved substantial luck “I got to be CEO of Goldman Sachs because my predecessor got nominated to be Treasury Secretary. Had he not been that, maybe he would have lasted five more years in the job and maybe I would have been too old for it at that point.”
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-98ab0ffca4d3af2e"></a>🟦 2026-06-01 X·@zerohedge · 发布最新市场资金流与持仓分析报告 · 仓位情绪/价格动态
  "Relentless Retail": Goldman Breaks Down The Latest Market Flows And Positioning
  tags: 好信源·好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-55b072aa2cce5230"></a>🟦 2026-04-29 X·@zerohedge [老化中] · 零售投资者行为转变 · 仓位情绪
  Goldman: Retail Has Moved From 'Buy The Dip' To 'Trade The Mania'
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=从‘逢低买入’转向‘交易狂热’
  [图: 美国系统性仓位滚动1个月变化量走势图 — Last (最新值): 79.59; High (最高值): 79.59; Low (最低值): -101.2; Avg. (平均值): -2.96; StdDev (标准差): 35.18]
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-feeb046cb2bd5b14"></a>🟦 2026-06-03 X·@rabbitsignal_cn · 下调离岸中国股票评级 · 仓位情绪/评级目标价
  GOLDMAN SLASHES OFFSHORE CHINA RATING AS ONSHORE MARKETS SURGE
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
  value: direction=down · date=2026-06-03
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-9dcbf6c3cdd122b4"></a>🟦 2026-04-28 群 · 因合规暂停使用 Claude · 监管合规/AI应用
  Goldman Sachs 因 Anthropic 合同严格解释停止香港员工使用 Claude
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-ac967b8da9aa86b2"></a>🟦 2026-06-25 X·@zerohedge · sell skew · 仓位情绪
  Our flow is skewed better for sale at -2.6% sell skew
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=-2.6%
• <a id="atom-27eeb2384d8a4d06"></a>🟦 2026-06-22 X·@zerohedge · 美国经济衰退概率预测 · 宏观利率
  Goldman Cuts Recession Odds To 10% From 25%
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=10% · date=2026-06-22
• <a id="atom-2a5793e3233026d1"></a>🟦 2026-06-22 X·@jukan05 · SK Hynix HBM market share forecast through 2026 · 市场份额
  Goldman Sachs assessed that it would be sufficient for SK Hynix to maintain a dominant position of more than 50 percent in HBM3 and HBM3E at least through 2026
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=>50% · date=through 2026
  📷 原图

🟥 多头 takes (bullish) (30)

• <a id="atom-48a668f4f88d00b6"></a>🟥 2026-07-02 群 ⭐ · Meta 长线变现，短期仍是 compute constrained · AI 叙事/竞争格局
  GS 认为 Meta 已签 $27bn Nebius + $21bn CoreWeave + 1.6GW Crusoe，不构成过剩；若卖算力，压力在 neoclouds 不在 hyperscalers
  tags: 好观点·好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=$27bn Nebius + $21bn CoreWeave + 1.6GW Crusoe
• <a id="atom-12105c316971fd9a"></a>🟥 2026-06-07 X·@zerohedge ⭐ · call option volume extreme activity forecast · 仓位情绪/价格动态
  extreme activity in option volumes (second highest listed option volume session of all time ~ 107 million contracts) … feels like the market’s first reaction function is becoming “vol” not shares
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=107M · date=2026-06-07
  [图: 2024年至2026年总上市期权交易量与总现金交易量对比走势图 — total option volume: 107m; total cash volumes: 73m]
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-068db8d16a7ad914"></a>🟥 2026-05-27 X·@zerohedge ⭐ · 上调标普500年终目标 · 评级目标价/业绩指引
  Goldman raised its S&P price target from 7600 to 8000: "continued earnings growth should drive continued equity market upside. We expect the S&P 500 will rise by 6% to our revised year-end target of 8000. Our previous target was 7600."
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=8000 · date=2026-12-31
• <a id="atom-22a9b356b1876eaf"></a>🟥 2026-04-19 X·@DrNHJ ⭐ · 对台湾PCB/CCL企业目标价调整 · 评级目标价
  Goldman Sachs- 대만 CCL/PCB 산업 분석... 관련 기업 목표 주가 약 15% 상향
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=15% · direction=up · date=2026-04-18
• <a id="atom-71ad9973af329544"></a>🟥 2026-04-19 X·@DrNHJ ⭐ · 对台湾PCB/CCL企业EPS预期调整 · 盈利能力/评级目标价
  주당순이익(EPS) 추정치를 17~29% 상향
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=17~29% · direction=up · date=2026-04-18
• <a id="atom-7d2adf5e0b62349f"></a>🟥 2026-05-21 X·@amitisinvesting · NVDA price target after Q1 earnings · 评级目标价
  Goldman Sachs $250 —> $285
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=$285
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-5116edc84b59577a"></a>🟥 2026-05-16 X·@AIStockSavvy · ServiceNow 自主IT事故管理 ACV 机会 · TAM
  Goldman sees $3.5B ACV opportunity in autonomous IT incident management.
  tags: 好数字·好思考 · → daily
  value: qty=$3.5B
• <a id="atom-a00a5ac6f40b9466"></a>🟥 2026-06-26 X·@zerohedge · 观点:电容需求高涨将推动指定股票大涨 · 订单需求/价格动态
  Why Goldman Thinks Soaring Capacitor Demand Will Spark Huge Gains In These Stocks
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-788c70f973c8567f"></a>🟥 2026-05-31 X·@DrNHJ · MLCC市场超级周期预测 · 供给产能
  골드만삭스는 현재의 MLCC 시장이 과거 메모리(DRAM/NAND) 반도체가 겪었던 '슈퍼사이클'의 초기 단계와 유사하다고 진단합니다.
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-4078e6156cc9cb46"></a>🟥 2026-05-31 X·@DrNHJ · MLCC价格上涨预测 · 价格动态/供给产能
  골드만삭스는 이러한 현상이 메모리 반도체 가격 급등 전야와 흡사하며, MLCC 가격 상승세는 이제 막 시작된 단계라고 분석하고 있습니다.
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-72e36f35b3b3dd5f"></a>🟥 2026-05-14 X·@zerohedge · 包括小型模块化反应堆（SMR）于展望中 · 资本开支/技术路线
  Goldman now including SMRs into forecast
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty= · date=
• <a id="atom-c7e4682aa9666829"></a>🟥 2026-05-08 X·@Alisvolatprop12 · 韩市场估值观点 · 仓位情绪/评级目标价
  Goldman Sachs 韩市场亚洲最吸引人，KOSPI 9000 上调
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=KOSPI 9000 · date=2026-05-08
• <a id="atom-676e50b07f04dcb4"></a>🟥 2026-05-31 X·@DrNHJ ⭐ · NAND 盈利高点预测 · 盈利能力
  이번 사이클의 수익 고점이 이전 예상보다 훨씬 높을 것이며, 매출과 이익 성장이 회계연도 2029년 3월(FY3/29)까지 지속될 것으로 전망
  tags: 好思考·好观点 · → daily
  value: date=FY3/29
• <a id="atom-d9da921deff4cc87"></a>🟥 2026-06-01 X·@DrNHJ · NVDA 목표주가 · 评级目标价
  목표주가 285달러
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=$285 · date=na
• <a id="atom-43e3d2c0575bf4d4"></a>🟥 2026-05-31 X·@DrNHJ · Kioxia 目标价上调 · 评级目标价
  목표 주가를 기존 48,000엔에서 93,000엔으로 상향
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: old=48000 · new=93000 · unit=JPY
• <a id="atom-d45eefbaee318008"></a>🟥 2026-05-27 X·@zerohedge · 2026年标普500 EPS预测 · 营收预测
  We raise our S&P 500 EPS forecasts to $340 (+24% year/year) in 2026 and $385 (+13%) in 2027.
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=$340 · date=2026
• <a id="atom-00968d19f3e633ad"></a>🟥 2026-05-27 X·@zerohedge · 2027年标普500 EPS预测 · 营收预测
  We raise our S&P 500 EPS forecasts to $340 (+24% year/year) in 2026 and $385 (+13%) in 2027.
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=$385 · date=2027
• <a id="atom-ba527aa4a50d8506"></a>🟥 2026-05-27 X·@zerohedge · AI基础设施投资占标普500 EPS增长比例 · 数据中心算力
  The beneficiaries of AI infrastructure investment will account for roughly half of S&P 500 EPS growth this year.
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=roughly half · date=2026
• <a id="atom-9455ba58e9edf7f2"></a>🟥 2026-06-30 X·@TheTranscript_ [已过期] · predicts AI infrastructure contribution to S&P 500 EPS growth · 业绩指引/盈利能力
  Goldman Sachs expects AI infrastructure companies to contribute 57% of all S&P 500 EPS growth in Q2
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=57% · date=Q2 2026
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-868793a9f429b849"></a>🟥 2026-06-30 X·@zerohedge · identifies HVAC as key trade opportunity from El Nino heat wave · 订单需求/价格动态
  El Nino Heat Wave Fuels HVAC Boom: Goldman Maps The Trade
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-581e07dd33daffa0"></a>🟥 2026-06-09 X·@AIStockSavvy · 全球肥胖药市场2030年预测 · 市场规模
  Goldman Sachs lifts global obesity-drug forecast to $114bn by 2030
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=$114bn · date=2030
• <a id="atom-419efb21f538fba5"></a>🟥 2026-06-04 X·@TheInsiderPaper · SpaceX AI revenue 2030 surge 100x expectation · 营收预测/数据中心算力
  GOLDMAN SACHS EXPECTS SPACEX’S AI REVENUE TO SURGE 100 TIMES BY 2030 — BLOOMBERG
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=100x · date=2030
• <a id="atom-e67bde2ea42f0c7d"></a>🟥 2026-06-02 X·@zerohedge · 上调铜价预测 · 价格动态
  Goldman Hikes Copper Forecasts
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: direction=上调
• <a id="atom-e4a4a64c38764742"></a>🟥 2026-05-25 X·@OmerCheeema · 2030年Token使用量预期增长倍数 · 数据中心算力
  Token use forecast by Goldman Sachs https://t.co/FF98UrTW9h
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=24倍 · date=2030年
  [图: 高盛预测2024至2030年AI智能体及非智能体工作负载月度Token使用量的堆叠面积图 — 2030年企业智能体估算值: 约118 quadrillion; 2030年消费者智能体估算值: 约61 quadrillion; 2030年非智能体工作负载估算值: 约16 quadrillion; 2030年Token使用量预期增长倍数: 24倍]
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-4ce54097c0078101"></a>🟥 2026-05-25 X·@OmerCheeema · 2030年企业智能体Token使用量估算值 · 数据中心算力
  Token use forecast by Goldman Sachs https://t.co/FF98UrTW9h
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=118 quadrillion · date=2030年
  [图: 高盛预测2024至2030年AI智能体及非智能体工作负载月度Token使用量的堆叠面积图 — 2030年企业智能体估算值: 约118 quadrillion; 2030年消费者智能体估算值: 约61 quadrillion; 2030年非智能体工作负载估算值: 约16 quadrillion; 2030年Token使用量预期增长倍数: 24倍]
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-f7f582807f70f40c"></a>🟥 2026-05-25 X·@OmerCheeema · 2030年消费者智能体Token使用量估算值 · 数据中心算力
  Token use forecast by Goldman Sachs https://t.co/FF98UrTW9h
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=61 quadrillion · date=2030年
  [图: 高盛预测2024至2030年AI智能体及非智能体工作负载月度Token使用量的堆叠面积图 — 2030年企业智能体估算值: 约118 quadrillion; 2030年消费者智能体估算值: 约61 quadrillion; 2030年非智能体工作负载估算值: 约16 quadrillion; 2030年Token使用量预期增长倍数: 24倍]
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-191e8d4733eb4fdc"></a>🟥 2026-05-07 X·@zerohedge [老化中] · warns of extreme physical tightness in UK jet fuel · 价格动态/供给产能
  Goldman Warns Of "Extreme Physical Tightness"
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: qty= · date=
• <a id="atom-bfee23c6066098cd"></a>🟥 2026-04-27 X·@zerohedge · EV demand momentum forecast · 订单需求/价格动态
  Goldman Says EV Demand Gaining Momentum Amid Fuel Price Shock
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=gaining momentum · date=2026-04-27
• <a id="atom-aadfbef4eb6bc368"></a>🟥 2026-06-27 X·@zerohedge [老化中] · partner opinion about China · 地缘政治/仓位情绪
  sees something big happening in little China
  tags: 好思考 · → daily
  value: qty= · date=
• <a id="atom-e84160516bb93d26"></a>🟥 2026-05-31 X·@DrNHJ · NAND 价格下跌与亏损风险评估 · 价格动态/盈利能力
  급격한 가격 하락이나 적자 전환이 향후 2~3년간은 발생할 가능성이 낮은 것으로 평가됩니다
  tags: 好思考 · → daily

🟥 空头 takes (bearish) (30)

• <a id="atom-6b166f8704d87231"></a>🟥 2026-06-23 X·@zerohedge ⭐ · 解释了韩国市场崩盘的原因 · 地缘政治/仓位情绪
  Korea Crashed: Goldman Explains What Happened And Why It Matters
  tags: 好信源·好思考 · → daily
• <a id="atom-380489eb4ff57595"></a>🟥 2026-07-01 X·@zerohedge · warn 'Summer Slump' for momentum · 仓位情绪/价格动态
  Goldman Warns Of 'Summer Slump' For Momentum
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-aee65f624b4a7fe9"></a>🟥 2026-06-18 X·@zerohedge [老化中] · Iran deal position change · 地缘政治
  Goldman Delta -1 on Iran deal
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=-1
• <a id="atom-bd990e7fbf0f2c71"></a>🟥 2026-05-14 X·@zerohedge · advises US homebuyers not to expect a Canadian-style drop in housing · 宏观利率/价格动态
  Goldman Tells US Homebuyers Not To Expect A "Canadian-Style" Drop In Housing
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-bbb9f0116e577166"></a>🟥 2026-05-12 X·@zerohedge [老旧] · 建议做尾部对冲应对半导体隐性杠杆 · 仓位情绪/风险提示
  'Cracks Are Starting To Appear': Top Goldman Trader Suggests 'Tail Hedges' Against Hidden Leverage In Semis
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-d75ddc19b9f7c1dc"></a>🟥 2026-05-03 X·@zerohedge [老化中] · 观点:对冲基金不买入当前上涨 · 仓位情绪
  Goldman Desk: "Hedge Funds Aren't Buying This Meltup... Just A Matter Of Time Until We Get A Flush"
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
  value: direction=na
• <a id="atom-8e4f522a38e2b547"></a>🟥 2026-04-19 X·@zerohedge · 市场观点 · 仓位情绪
  Goldman Desk Warns 'Market Now Primed For A Pull Back'
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
  value: direction=pullback
• <a id="atom-ef4f216d0b363737"></a>🟥 2026-06-20 X·@zerohedge · tactical gold outlook · 价格动态
  Goldman Slashes Tactical Gold Outlook But Remains "Structurally Constructive"
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: direction=slashed
• <a id="atom-b99c7c031d8a8984"></a>🟥 2026-06-19 X·@zerohedge · CTA asymmetry downside warning · 仓位情绪/量化交易
  Goldman's 1-Delta Desk Warns 'Lots Of CTA Asymmetry To The Downside Now'
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: direction=downside · date=2026-06-19
• <a id="atom-a4dcba6731eefd6d"></a>🟥 2026-06-10 X·@zerohedge · macro trader warns little margin for error · 仓位情绪
  Top Goldman Macro Trader Warns Of 'Little Margin For Error'
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: direction=negative
• <a id="atom-32ca06cb8e51dd40"></a>🟥 2026-05-18 X·@zerohedge · 策略师建议对冲下行尾部风险 · 仓位情绪
  Top Goldman Strategist Continues To 'Advocate For Meaningful Hedges Of Downside Tails'
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-178517f2842f6d69"></a>🟥 2026-05-15 X·@zerohedge · 披露了终结市场无限伽马挤压的方法 · 仓位情绪
  Goldman's Desk Reveals What Will End The Market's Endless Gamma Squeeze, And How To Trade It
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-8c4a7d2b6959ca4d"></a>🟥 2026-05-14 X·@zerohedge · 建议对冲 · 仓位情绪
  Goldman Flows Guru Suggests Hedging
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-e2012046bbc6de50"></a>🟥 2026-04-26 X·@zerohedge · warns of market pullback · 仓位情绪
  Goldman Desk Braces For Market Pullback: "Five Warning Signs Are Flashing"
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-adb0172b7a420786"></a>🟥 2026-06-20 X·@knockouttrader · global smartphone forecast 2026 · 订单需求/出货量
  Goldman now expects global smartphone shipments to decline 10% in 2026 before recovering modestly in 2027-28.
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=decline 10% · date=2026
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-721ffdb761262902"></a>🟥 2026-06-29 X·@zerohedge · memory shortages impact outlook · 地缘政治/供给产能
  With memory shortages now directly feeding into consumer inflation and driving complex geopolitical lobbying, think expect heightened volatility and regulatory risks in the semiconductor space heading into Q3.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: date=Q3
• <a id="atom-784c725cc39f3e02"></a>🟥 2026-06-26 X·@zerohedge · 市场对高FCF资本开支公司的历史回报看法 · 资本开支
  Markets have rarely rewarded companies allocating exceptionally large proportions of free cash flow toward capex during the build phase
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-a8dffce844a0838e"></a>🟥 2026-06-24 X·@zerohedge · 警告市场波动 · 仓位情绪/宏观利率
  With 'Crowdedness' At Extremes, Goldman Partner Warns 'Brace For Continued Volatility Ahead'
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=ahead
• <a id="atom-69b12a1ea34f24c0"></a>🟥 2026-06-23 X·@trevornoren · reconciliation of AI capex market value with profit gains requires optimistic assumptions · 估值/盈利能力
  It is still possible to reconcile this market value with a macro estimate of future profit gains. But it requires more optimistic assumptions...
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-f551978a47a61105"></a>🟥 2026-06-15 X·@zerohedge · 建议对冲Kospi下跌风险 · 仓位情绪
  Goldman Urges Clients To Hedge For Kospi Drawdown
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-cf13db5d7fef71d8"></a>🟥 2026-06-14 X·@zerohedge · 市场集中度风险观点 · 仓位情绪/竞争格局
  Goldman Partner Reflects On 'Historic Week': Increasingly Exposed To A Narrowing Group Of Winners
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-4f4f5c85ce420ebf"></a>🟥 2026-06-12 X·@zerohedge · 下调2027年布伦特原油价格展望 · 价格动态
  Goldman Cuts 2027 Brent Price Outlook As Weak Demand Offsets Hormuz Disruption
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=下调 · date=2027
• <a id="atom-6d6a19f240f63844"></a>🟥 2026-06-11 X·@zerohedge · 策略师观点 · 仓位情绪
  'Recent Vol Is Precursor To More Ahead'
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: qty=波动率预示未来更多波动
• <a id="atom-396a64321fba0f20"></a>🟥 2026-05-30 X·@zerohedge · 观点: 'The Yards Will Likely Be Harder' · 仓位情绪
  'The Yards Will Likely Be Harder' From Here: Goldman's Pasquariello Sees Two Core Challenges Facing Bulls
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=更难
• <a id="atom-6ad83cafb8835648"></a>🟥 2026-05-28 X·@zerohedge [老旧] · 动量因子季节性风险观点 · 仓位情绪
  "The momentum factor has historically stalled around May and July but seen a significant ramp up in June with the factor actually being the highest performing seasonally in the month. We do think the move higher came early this year, and while we still think there is a potential for upside in the leaders, we are more concerned with unwind risk and squeezes in the laggards at the current moment": Goldman
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-40f03a10f332968d"></a>🟥 2026-05-25 X·@zerohedge · Spoiler Alert: 'Nothing Good' for markets if global real yields continue higher · 宏观利率/仓位情绪
  Goldman Spoiler Alert: 'Nothing Good'
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-2c115ced487e2f23"></a>🟥 2026-05-13 X·@zerohedge · mortgage delinquency rise flag · 价格动态
  Goldman Flags Troubling Mortgage Delinquency Rise Across This U.S. Region
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=up
• <a id="atom-b746756783707238"></a>🟥 2026-05-11 X·@zerohedge · FOMC降息预测时间调整 · 宏观利率
  Goldman is pushing back the final two Fed rate cuts in our forecast by one quarter to December 2026 and March 2027
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: qty=推后一个季度 · date=第一次2026年12月, 第二次2027年3月
• <a id="atom-87e8929344ccb915"></a>🟥 2026-05-11 X·@zerohedge [老化中] · risk asymmetry · 宏观利率
  But Warns Risks Are Asymmetrically Negative From Here
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=negative
• <a id="atom-19f6ba676fafe1f8"></a>🟥 2026-05-08 X·@zerohedge [老化中] · client sentiment on energy · 仓位情绪/能源
  Goldman Partner Sees Clients "Getting Structurally Bearish Energy" Again
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
  value: direction=structurally bearish

🟥 中性 takes (neutral) (20)

• <a id="atom-5523b464f66efd97"></a>🟥 2026-05-04 X·@business · estimate · 宏观利率
  Japan has the firepower to intervene 30 times in currency markets at last week’s scale, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs
  tags: 好数字·好信源 · → daily
  value: qty=30 times · date=last week’s scale
• <a id="atom-41e211b6ba1c197b"></a>🟥 2026-06-27 X·@zerohedge · 市场波动真实驱动力 · 宏观利率/仓位情绪
  the real driver of market volatility is AI rebalancing
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-b02983ad013c9009"></a>🟥 2026-05-24 X·@zerohedge · 发布选股报告 · 仓位情绪/观点发布
  What's Attractive Beyond The AI Leaders? Top Goldman Trader Spots Which Stocks Will Higher Rates Break?
  tags: 好观点·好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-b10755bf00aaa392"></a>🟥 2026-06-29 X·@zerohedge ⭐ · Flows Guru sees correlation crash to record low · 仓位情绪/市场波动
  Goldman Flows Guru Sees 'Real Reset' In Positioning As Correlation Crashes To Record Low
  tags: 好思考·好观点 · → daily
  value: date=2026-06-29
• <a id="atom-7e96142cd7b0c8ee"></a>🟥 2026-06-17 X·@zerohedge · projected dot plot · 宏观利率
  Goldman's projected dot plot (new one coming today)
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: date=2026-06-17
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-ef1663a2c572405d"></a>🟥 2026-06-30 X·@zerohedge · 发布关于Rampart影响超大规模公司叙事的研究 · 叙事分析
  Will 'Rampart' Wreck The Hyperscaler 'To The Moon' Narrative? Goldman 1-Delta Desk Deep-Dives
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-3ef3c78978e30317"></a>🟥 2026-06-17 X·@zerohedge · trading floor positioning for FOMC · 仓位情绪
  Hello New Fed Chair, Goodbye Easing Bias, and what Goldman's Trading Floor is Doing
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-fa6f9ef9e067d940"></a>🟥 2026-06-01 X·@zerohedge · 分析报告:市场能否吸收IPO股票供给 · 融资
  Can Markets Absorb Massive Stock Supply From Coming Mega IPOs Without A Crash: Goldman's Answer
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-10e1502aeccc26ea"></a>🟥 2026-05-26 X·@zerohedge · groceries cheapest · 价格动态
  Goldman tells who's got the cheapest groceries
  tags: 好信源 · → daily
• <a id="atom-97a044a551ac6199"></a>🟥 2026-05-25 X·@OmerCheeema · 2030年非智能体工作负载Token使用量估算值 · 数据中心算力
  Token use forecast by Goldman Sachs https://t.co/FF98UrTW9h
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=16 quadrillion · date=2030年
  [图: 高盛预测2024至2030年AI智能体及非智能体工作负载月度Token使用量的堆叠面积图 — 2030年企业智能体估算值: 约118 quadrillion; 2030年消费者智能体估算值: 约61 quadrillion; 2030年非智能体工作负载估算值: 约16 quadrillion; 2030年Token使用量预期增长倍数: 24倍]
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-1c0deae84e52839b"></a>🟥 2026-06-02 X·@herbertong · IPO承销费收入预期 · 盈利能力
  Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are expected to receive the largest share of those fees
  tags: 好数字 · → daily
  value: qty=largest share of $500M · date=
  📷 原图
• <a id="atom-11f97ffc115699bc"></a>🟥 2026-06-19 X·@zerohedge · 发布伊朗石油出口与谈判分析 · 地缘政治/价格动态
  if Iran fully restores exports and removes the oil risk premium, it surrenders its primary negotiating leverage. Consequently, Tehran may favor a slower, phased implementation. The market is pricing physical barrels but has yet to fully discount this trust deficit and the deteriorating momentum of the agreement
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-41eb8db9f9e173e1"></a>🟥 2026-06-10 X·@zerohedge · AI生态系统循环性警告 · AI生态系统
  Goldman Partner Warns The Circularity Of The AI Ecosystem 'Is Becoming Harder To Ignore'
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-2e82851acf1f25b5"></a>🟥 2026-06-05 X·@zerohedge · traders watching charts on consumption, concentration, Korea, and copper · 仓位情绪
  Here's The Charts That Goldman Traders Are Watching Into The Weekend: Consumption, Concentration, Korea, Copper
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-2f0e56b38f6adc1f"></a>🟥 2026-05-31 X·@zerohedge · 观点: AI之外稀缺性投资机会 · 仓位情绪
  Top Goldman Trader Finds 'Scarcity' Elsewhere
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-b43423a25875492b"></a>🟥 2026-05-29 X·@zerohedge · 交易建议 · 宏观利率
  What To Chase & What To Fade: Goldman Macro Traders On How To Trade An Iran Peace Deal
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-a3f2c68e8ab3ea26"></a>🟥 2026-05-21 X·@zerohedge · 观点: 利率对可持续股权收益仍关键 · 宏观利率
  Rates Remain Critical For Sustainable Equity Gains
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-23498cc0998c9a3d"></a>🟥 2026-05-18 X·@zerohedge · desk says watch China, Japan, & bond vol · 宏观利率
  Goldman One-Delta Desk Says Watch China, Japan, & Bond Vol
  tags: 好观点 · → daily
• <a id="atom-06aed9fc58c2c533"></a>🟥 2026-05-04 X·@ScroogeCap [老化中] · 反应式做市模式 · 做市模式
  Banks are reactive - they wait for clients to call, IM or RFQ.
  tags: 好思考 · → daily
  value: direction=reactive
• <a id="atom-6063af790afde8a5"></a>🟥 2026-04-15 X·@AIStockSavvy [老化中] · 比特币ETF结构 · ETF结构
  The proposed fund offers yield in exchange for capped upside, targeting cautious investors.
  tags: 好观点 · → daily

🟦 新闻流 (squawk · 40)

⏱ 时间轴 (近 20)

• 🟥 2026-07-02 · position · Meta 长线变现，短期仍是 compute constrained · → daily
• 🟥 2026-07-02 · narrative · 认为半导体公司受益于AI · → daily
• 🟦 2026-07-02 · fact · contributes to Trump Accounts for employees' children · → daily
• 🟦 2026-07-02 · fact · 将匹配Trump账户供款 · → daily
• 🟥 2026-07-01 · position · EM equities capital goods评级上调 · → daily
• 🟦 2026-07-01 · fact · 添加至美国确信优选名单 · → daily
• 🟦 2026-07-01 · forecast · expected to join lending consortium · → daily
• 🟥 2026-07-01 · forecast · warn 'Summer Slump' for momentum · → daily
• 🟥 2026-06-30 · narrative · 发布关于Rampart影响超大规模公司叙事的研究 · → daily
• 🟥 2026-06-30 · position · reiterates Buy on Figma · → daily
• 🟥 2026-06-30 · forecast · sees near-term upside from new products and monetization · → daily
• 🟥 2026-06-30 · forecast · predicts AI infrastructure contribution to S&P 500 EPS growt · → daily
• 🟥 2026-06-30 · narrative · GS对人类机器人公司判断 · → daily
• 🟥 2026-06-30 · narrative · identifies HVAC as key trade opportunity from El Nino heat w · → daily
• 🟦 2026-06-29 · fact · facilitated movement of millions of dollars into U.S. nonpro · → daily
• 🟥 2026-06-29 · narrative · Flows Guru sees correlation crash to record low · → daily
• 🟥 2026-06-29 · forecast · memory shortages impact outlook · → daily
• 🟦 2026-06-29 · fact · 报告对冲基金卖出美国IT股票规模 · → daily
• 🟦 2026-06-29 · fact · 报告对冲基金卖出美国IT股票规模超过2024年8月 · → daily
• 🟦 2026-06-29 · fact · 报告对冲基金卖出美国股票规模仅次于2025年4月 · → daily

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